×

A Bayesian two-stage regression approach of analysing longitudinal outcomes with endogeneity and incompleteness. (English) Zbl 07289529

Summary: Two-stage regression methods are typically used for handling endogeneity in the simultaneous equations models in economics and other social sciences. However, the problem is challenging in the presence of incomplete response and/or incomplete endogenous covariate(s). We propose a Bayesian approach for the joint modelling of incomplete longitudinal continuous response and an incomplete count endogenous covariate, where the incompleteness is caused by the censorship through a selection mechanism. We define latent continuous variables which are left-censored at zero and develop a Gibbs sampling algorithm for the simultaneous estimation of the model parameters. We consider partially varying coefficients regression models containing covariates with fixed and time-varying effects on the response. Our work is motivated by a sample dataset from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) for modelling the out-of-pocket medical cost, where the number of hospital admissions is considered as an endogenous covariate. Our analysis addresses some of the previously unanswered questions on the physical and financial health of the older population based on HRS data. Simulation studies are performed for assessing the usefulness of the proposed method compared to its competitors.

MSC:

62-XX Statistics
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Adams, P, Hurd, MD, McFadden, D, Merrill, A, Ribeiro, T (2003) Healthy, wealthy, and wise? Tests for direct causal paths between health and socioeconomic status. Journal of Econometrics, 112, 3-56. · Zbl 1038.62121 · doi:10.1016/S0304-4076(02)00145-8
[2] Albert, J, Chib, S (1993) Bayesian analysis of binary and polychotomous response Data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 669-79. · Zbl 0774.62031 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1993.10476321
[3] Amemiya, T (1984) Tobit models: A survey. Journal of Econometrics, 24, 3-61. · Zbl 0539.62121 · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(84)90074-5
[4] Angrist, JD, Imbens, GW (1995) Two-stage least squares estimation of average causal effects in models with variable treatment intensity. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90, 431-42. · Zbl 0925.62541 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1995.10476535
[5] Arias, E (2006) United States life tables, 2006. National Vital Statistics Reports, 58, 1-40.
[6] Atella, V, Deb, P (2008) Are primary care physicians, public and private sector specialists substitutes or complements? Evidence from a simultaneous equations model for count data. Journal of Health Economics, 27, 770-85. · doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2007.10.006
[7] Brown, S, Taylor, K, Price, SW (2005) Debt and distress: Evaluating the psychological cost of credit. Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 642-63. · doi:10.1016/j.joep.2005.01.002
[8] Cameron, A, Trivedi, P (2005) Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications. New York: Cambridge University Press. · Zbl 1156.62092 · doi:10.1017/CBO9780511811241
[9] Celeux, G, Forbes, F, Robert, CP, Titterington, DM (2006) Deviance information criteria for missing data models. Bayesian Analysis, 1, 651-73. · Zbl 1331.62329 · doi:10.1214/06-BA122
[10] Cui, Y, Zhu, J, Wu, R (2006) Functional mapping for genetic control of programmed cell death. Physiological Genomics, 25, 458-69. · doi:10.1152/physiolgenomics.00181.2005
[11] Das, K, Li, J, Wang, Z, Tong, C, Fu, G, Li, Y, Xu, M, Ahn, K, Mauger, D, Li, R, Wu, RL (2011) A dynamic model for genome-wide association studies. Human Genetics, 129, 629-39. · doi:10.1007/s00439-011-0960-6
[12] Deb, P, Trivedi, PK (1997) Demand for medical care by the elderly: A finite mixture approach. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 12, 313-36. · doi:10.1002/(SICI)1099-1255(199705)12:3<313::AID-JAE440>3.0.CO;2-G
[13] Dong, Y, Lewbel, A (2015) A simple estimator for binary choice models with endogenous regressors. Econometric Reviews, 34, 82-105. · Zbl 1491.62203 · doi:10.1080/07474938.2014.944470
[14] Gelfand, AE, Dey, DK, Chang, H (1992) Model determination using predictive distributions with implementation via sampling-based methods (Technical Report No. 462). Department of Statistics, Standford University.
[15] Holliday, T, Lawrance, AJ, Davis, TP (1998) Engine-mapping experiments: A two-stage regression approach. Technometrics, 40, 120-26. · doi:10.1080/00401706.1998.10485194
[16] Huskova, M, Sen, PK (1985) On sequentially adaptive asymptotically efficient rank statistics. Sequential Analysis, 4, 125-51. · Zbl 0594.62052 · doi:10.1080/07474948508836076
[17] Keese, M, Schmitz, H (2014) Broke, ill, and obese: Is there an effect of household debt on health? Review of Income and Wealth, 60, 525-41. · doi:10.1111/roiw.12002
[18] Kim, T, Muller, C (2004) Two-stage quantile regression when the first stage is based on quantile regression. Econometrics Journal, 7, 218-31. · Zbl 1053.62130 · doi:10.1111/j.1368-423X.2004.00128.x
[19] Khan, S, Lewbel, A (2007) Weighted and two-stage least squares estimation of semiparametric truncated regression models. Econometric Theory, 23, 309-47. · Zbl 1237.62047 · doi:10.1017/S0266466607070132
[20] Liu, X, Lee, LF (2013) Two stage least squares estimation of spatial autoregressive models with endogenous regressors and many instruments. Econometric Reviews, 32, 734-53. · Zbl 1491.62243 · doi:10.1080/07474938.2013.741018
[21] Meyer, K (2000) Random regressions to model phenotypic variation in monthly weights of australian beef cows. Livestock Production Science, 65, 19-38. · doi:10.1016/S0301-6226(99)00183-9
[22] Michaud, PC, van Soest, A (2008) Health and wealth of elderly couples: Causality tests using dynamic panel data models. Journal of Health Economics, 27, 1312-25. · doi:10.1016/j.jhealeco.2008.04.002
[23] Mukherji, A, Roychoudhury, S, Ghosh, P, Brown, S (2016) Estimating health demand for an aging population: A flexible and robust Bayesian joint model. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31, 1140-58. · doi:10.1002/jae.2463
[24] Şentürk, D, Dalrymple, LS, Mohammed, SM, Kaysen, GA, Nguyen, DV (2013) Modeling timevarying effects with generalized and unsynchronized longitudinal data. Statistics in Medicine, 32, 2971-87. · doi:10.1002/sim.5740
[25] Simar, L, Wilson, PW (2011) Two-stage DEA: Caveat emptor. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 36, 205-18. · doi:10.1007/s11123-011-0230-6
[26] Scott, AJ, Holt, D (1982) The effect of two-stage sampling on ordinary least squares methods. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77, 848-54. · Zbl 0506.62051 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1982.10477897
[27] Theil, H (1953a) Repeated least-squares applied to a complete equation systems. The Hague: Central Planning Bureau [mimeo].
[28] Theil, H (1953b) Estimation and simultaneous correlation in complete equation systems. The Hague: Central Planning Bureau [mimeo].
[29] Westbury, LD, Syddall, HE, Simmonds, SJ, Cooper, C, Aihie Sayer, A (2016) Identification of risk factors for hospital admission using multiple-failure survival models: A tool kit for researchers. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 16, 1-8. · doi:10.1186/s12874-016-0147-x
[30] Ye, W, Lin, X, Taylor, JM (2008) Semiparametric modeling of longitudinal measurements and time-to-event data: A two-stage regression calibration approach. Biometrics, 64, 1238-46. · Zbl 1151.62093 · doi:10.1111/j.1541-0420.2007.00983.x
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.