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Alternative approaches to implementing Lagrange multiplier tests for serial correlation in dynamic regression models. (English) Zbl 1161.62366

Summary: An approximate \(F\)-form of the Lagrange multiplier (LM) test for serial correlation in dynamic regression models is compared with three bootstrap tests. In one bootstrap procedure, residuals from restricted estimation under the null hypothesis are resampled. The other two bootstrap tests use residuals from unrestricted estimation under an alternative hypothesis. A fixed autocorrelation alternative is assumed in one of the two unrestricted bootstrap tests and the other is based upon a Pitman-type sequence of local alternatives. Monte Carlo experiments are used to estimate rejection probabilities under the null hypothesis and in the presence of serial correlation.

MSC:

62H15 Hypothesis testing in multivariate analysis
62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
62G09 Nonparametric statistical resampling methods
65C05 Monte Carlo methods

Keywords:

bootstrap

References:

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