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Three-dimensional spread analysis of a Dengue disease model with numerical season control. (English) Zbl 1479.35882

Summary: Dengue is among the most important infectious diseases in the world. The main contribution of our paper is to present a mixed system of partial and ordinary differential equations. This combined model is a generalization of the two presented mathematical models [A. L. A. de Araujo et al., J. Math. Anal. Appl. 444, No. 1, 298–325 (2016; Zbl 1342.92297)] and [L. Cai et al., Math. Biosci. 288, 94–108 (2017; Zbl 1377.92082)], describing the geographic spread of dengue disease. Our model has the ability to consider the possibility of asymptomatic infection, which leads to investigate the effect of dengue asymptomatic individuals on disease dynamics and to go into the possibility of superinfection of asymptomatic individuals. In the light of considering these factors, as well as the movements of human and mature female mosquitoes, more realistic modeling of dengue disease can be achieved. We present a mathematical analysis and show the global existence of a unique non-negative solution to this model and then establish ways to control dengue disease using numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis of model parameters (which are related to the contact rates and death rate of winged mosquitoes). To show different biological behaviors, we provide several numerical results, showing the role of parameters in controlling dengue disease transmission. From our numerical simulations, it can also be concluded that local control of dengue transmission can be done at a lower cost.

MSC:

35Q92 PDEs in connection with biology, chemistry and other natural sciences
35K51 Initial-boundary value problems for second-order parabolic systems
92D30 Epidemiology
92D25 Population dynamics (general)
35A01 Existence problems for PDEs: global existence, local existence, non-existence
35A02 Uniqueness problems for PDEs: global uniqueness, local uniqueness, non-uniqueness
35B45 A priori estimates in context of PDEs
35B09 Positive solutions to PDEs
92-08 Computational methods for problems pertaining to biology
65M06 Finite difference methods for initial value and initial-boundary value problems involving PDEs
65N06 Finite difference methods for boundary value problems involving PDEs
49N90 Applications of optimal control and differential games
Full Text: DOI

References:

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