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The exact asymptotics of the large deviation probabilities in the multivariate boundary crossing problem. (English) Zbl 1427.60050

Summary: For a multivariate random walk with independent and identically distributed jumps satisfying the Cramér moment condition and having mean vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being translated to infinity along a fixed vector with positive components. This problem is motivated by and extends results of F. Avram et al. [Ann. Appl. Probab. 18, No. 6, 2421–2449 (2008; Zbl 1163.60010)] on a two-dimensional risk process. Our approach combines the large deviation techniques from a series of papers by A. A. Borovkov and A. A. Mogul’skij [Sib. Adv. Math. 2, No. 3, 1 (1992; Zbl 0847.62012); translation from Tr. Inst. Mat. 19, 1–63 (1992); Sib. Math. J. 37, No. 4, 647–682 (1996; Zbl 0878.60023); translation from Sib. Mat. Zh. 37, No. 4, 745–782 (1996); Theory Probab. Appl. 43, No. 1, 1–12 (1998; Zbl 0927.60040); translation from Teor. Veroyatn. Primen. 43, No. 1, 3–17 (1998); ibid. 45, No. 1, 3–22 (2000; Zbl 0980.60030); translation from Teor. Veroyatn. Primen. 45, No. 1, 5–29 (2000); Sib. Mat. Zh. 42, No. 2, 289–317 (2001; Zbl 0983.60011); translation in Sib. Math. J. 42, No. 2, 245–270 (2001)] with new auxiliary constructions, enabling us to extend their results on hitting remote sets with smooth boundaries to the case of boundaries with a ‘corner’ at the ‘most probable hitting point’. We also discuss how our results can be extended to the case of more general target sets.

MSC:

60F10 Large deviations
60K35 Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory
60G50 Sums of independent random variables; random walks

References:

[1] Asmussen, S. and Albrecher, H. (2010). Ruin Probabilities, 2nd edn.World Scientific, Hackensack, NJ. · Zbl 1247.91080
[2] Avram, F., Palmowski, Z. and Pistorius, M. R. (2008). Exit problem of a two-dimensional risk process from the quadrant: exact and asymptotic results. Ann. Appl. Prob.18, 2421-2449. · Zbl 1163.60010
[3] Borovkov, A. A. (1995). On the Cramér transform, large deviations in boundary value problems, and the conditional invariance principle. Siberian Math. J.36, 417-434. · Zbl 0915.60043
[4] Borovkov, A. A. (1996). On the limit conditional distributions connected with large deviations. Siberian Math. J.37, 635-646. · Zbl 0891.60030
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[7] Borovkov, A. A. and Mogulskii, A. A. (1996). The second rate function and the asymptotic problems of renewal and hitting the boundary for multidimensional random walks. Siberian Math. J.37, 647-682. · Zbl 0878.60023
[8] Borovkov, A. A. and Mogulskii, A. A. (1998). Integro-local limit theorems including large deviations for sums of random vectors. Theory Prob. Appl.43, 1-12. · Zbl 0927.60040
[9] Borovkov, A. A. and Mogulskii, A. A. (2000). Integro-local limit theorems including large deviations for sums of random vectors. II. Theory Prob. Appl.45, 3-22. · Zbl 0980.60030
[10] Borovkov, A. A. and Mogulskii, A. A. (2001). Limit theorems in the boundary hitting problem for a multidimensional random walk. Siberian Math. J.42, 245-270. · Zbl 0983.60011
[11] Erdélyi, A. (2010). Asymptotic Expansions.Dover, New York. · Zbl 0070.29002
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