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Conditional risk measures in a bipartite market structure. (English) Zbl 1416.91194

Summary: In this paper, we study the effect of network structure between agents and objects on measures for systemic risk. We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the financial or (re)insurance market by a bipartite graph. Using Pareto-tailed losses and multivariate regular variation, we obtain asymptotic results for conditional risk measures based on the value-at-risk and the conditional tail expectation. These results allow us to assess the influence of an individual institution on the systemic or market risk and vice versa through a collection of conditional risk measures. For large markets, Poisson approximations of the relevant constants are provided. Differences of the conditional risk measures for an underlying homogeneous and inhomogeneous random graph are illustrated by simulations.

MSC:

91B30 Risk theory, insurance (MSC2010)
91G70 Statistical methods; risk measures
62G32 Statistics of extreme values; tail inference
90B10 Deterministic network models in operations research
05C90 Applications of graph theory

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