×

Performance of utility-based strategies for hedging basis risk. (English) Zbl 1405.91563

Summary: The performance of optimal strategies for hedging a claim on a non-traded asset is analysed. The claim is valued and hedged in a utility maximization framework, using exponential utility. A traded asset, correlated with that underlying the claim, is used for hedging, with the correlation \(\rho\) typically close to 1. Using a distortion method [T. Zariphopoulou, Finance Stoch. 5, No. 1, 61–82 (2001; Zbl 0977.93081)], we derive a nonlinear expectation representation for the claim’s ask price and a formula for the optimal hedging strategy. We generate a perturbation expansion for the price and hedging strategy in powers of \(\varepsilon^2 =1-\rho^2\). The terms in the price expansion are proportional to the central moments of the claim payoff under the minimal martingale measure. The resulting fast computation capability is used to carry out a simulation-based test of the optimal hedging program, computing the terminal hedging error over many asset price paths. These errors are compared with those from a naive strategy which uses the traded asset as a proxy for the non-traded one. The distribution of the hedging error acts as a suitable metric to analyse hedging performance. We find that the optimal policy improves hedging performance, in that the hedging error distribution is more sharply peaked around a non-negative profit. The frequency of profits over losses is increased, and this is measured by the median of the distribution, which is always increased by the optimal strategies. An empirical example illustrates the application of the method to the hedging of a stock basket using index futures.

MSC:

91G10 Portfolio theory
91G20 Derivative securities (option pricing, hedging, etc.)
91B16 Utility theory

Citations:

Zbl 0977.93081

References:

[1] Artzner, P, Delbaen, F, Eber, J M and Heath, D. 1999. Coherent measures of risk. Math. Finance, 9: 203-8. · Zbl 0980.91042
[2] Black, F and Scholes, M. 1973. The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. J. Political Economy, 81: 637-59. · Zbl 1092.91524
[3] Davis, M H A. 1999. “Option valuation and hedging with basis risk”. In System Theory: Modeling, Analysis and Control, Edited by: Djaferis, T E and Schuck, I C. 245-54. Amsterdam: Kluwer. · Zbl 0992.91045
[4] Davis, M H A. 2000. “Optimal hedging with basis risk”. In Preprint Technical University of Vienna · Zbl 0992.91045
[5] Föllmer, H and Leukert, P. 2000. Efficient hedging: cost versus shortfall risk. Finance Stochastics, 4: 117-46. · Zbl 0956.60074
[6] Föllmer, H and Schweizer, M. 1991. “Hedging of contingent claims under incomplete information”. In Applied Stochastic Analysis, Edited by: Davis, M H A and Elliott, R J. Vol. 5, 389-414. New York: Gordon and Breach pp. Stochastics Monographs · Zbl 0738.90007
[7] Harrison, J M and Pliska, S R. 1981. Martingales and stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading. Stochastic Processes Applications, 11: 215-260. · Zbl 0482.60097
[8] Henderson, V. 2002. Valuation of claims on nontraded assets using utility maximization. Math. Finance, 12: 351-73. · Zbl 1049.91072
[9] Henderson, V and Hobson, D G. 2002. Real options with constant relative risk aversion. J. Econ. Dynamics Control, 27: 329-55. · Zbl 1027.91039
[10] Henderson, V and Hobson, D G. 2002. Substitute hedging. Risk, 15: 71-5.
[11] Hobson, D G. 2003. “Real options, non-traded assets and utility indifference prices”. In Preprint University of Bath
[12] Jonsson, M and Sircar, K R. 2002. Partial hedging in a stochastic volatility environment. Math. Finance, 12: 375-409. · Zbl 1049.91073
[13] Merton, R C. 1969. Lifetime portfolio selection under uncertainty: the continuous-time case. Rev. Economics Statistics, 51: 247-57.
[14] Merton, R C. 1971. Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model. J. Econ. Theory, 3: 373-413. Merton R. C. Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model J. Econ. Theory 1973 6 213 4(erratum) · Zbl 1011.91502
[15] Monoyios, M. 2004. Option pricing with transaction costs using a Markov chain approximation. J. Econ. Dynamics Control, 28: 889-913. · Zbl 1179.91244
[16] Monoyios, M. 2003. Efficient option pricing with transaction costs. J. Comput. Finance, 7: 107-28.
[17] Monoyios, M. 2003. “Distortion, duality, and fictitious completions for optimal hedging in incomplete markets”. In Preprint Brunel University
[18] Musiela, M and Zariphopoulou, T. 2001. “Pricing and risk management of derivatives written on non-traded assets”. In Preprint University of Texas
[19] Schachermayer, W. 2001. Optimal investment in incomplete markets when wealth may become negative. Ann. Appl. Prob., 11: 694-734. · Zbl 1049.91085
[20] Schweizer, M. 2001. “A guided tour through quadratic hedging approaches”. In Option Pricing, Interest Rates and Risk Management, Edited by: Jouini, E, Cvitanić, J and Musiela, M. 538-74. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. · Zbl 0992.91036
[21] Whalley, A E and Wilmott, P. 1997. An asymptotic analysis of an optimal hedging model for option pricing with transaction costs. Math. Finance, 7: 307-24. · Zbl 0885.90019
[22] Zariphopoulou, T. 2001. A solution approach to valuation with unhedgeable risks. Finance Stochastics, 5: 61-82. · Zbl 0977.93081
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.