×

Early default risk and surrender risk: impacts on participating life insurance policies. (English) Zbl 1398.91318

Summary: We study the risk-neutral valuation of participating life insurance policies with surrender guarantees when an early default mechanism, forcing an insurance company to be liquidated once a solvency threshold is reached, is imposed by a regulator. The early default regulation affects the policies’ value not only directly via changing the policies’ payment stream but also indirectly via influencing policyholder’s surrender. In this paper, we endogenize surrender risk by assuming a representative policyholder’s surrender intensity bounded from below and from above and uncover the impact of the regulation on the policyholder’s surrender decision making. A partial differential equation is derived to characterize the price of a participating policy and solved with the finite difference method. We discuss the impacts of the early default regulation and insurance company’s reaction to the regulation in terms of its investment strategy on the policyholder’s surrender as well as on the contract value, which depend on the policyholder’s rationality level.

MSC:

91B30 Risk theory, insurance (MSC2010)
91G60 Numerical methods (including Monte Carlo methods)
65M06 Finite difference methods for initial value and initial-boundary value problems involving PDEs
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Andreatta, G., Corradin, S., 2003. Fair Value of Life Liabilities with Embedded Options: An Application to a Portfolio of Italian Insurance Policies. Working Paper.; Andreatta, G., Corradin, S., 2003. Fair Value of Life Liabilities with Embedded Options: An Application to a Portfolio of Italian Insurance Policies. Working Paper.
[2] Bacinello, A. R., Pricing guaranteed life insurance participating policies with annual premiums and surrender option, N. Am. Actuar. J., 7, 3, 1-17 (2003) · Zbl 1084.62519
[3] Bacinello, A. R., Endogenous model of surrender conditions in equity-linked life insurance, Insurance Math. Econom., 37, 270-296 (2005) · Zbl 1118.91054
[4] Bacinello, A. R.; Biffis, E.; Millossovich, P., Regression-based algorithms for life insurance contracts with surrender guarantees, Quant. Finance, 10, 9, 1077-1090 (2010) · Zbl 1210.91056
[5] Bauer, D.; Bergmann, D.; Kiesel, R., On the risk-neutral valuation of life insurance contracts with numerical methods in view, Astin Bull., 40, 65-95 (2010) · Zbl 1230.91066
[6] Bauer, D.; Kiesel, R.; Kling, A.; Ruß, J., Risk-neutral valuation of participating life insurance contracts, Insurance Math. Econom., 29, 171-183 (2006) · Zbl 1098.91067
[7] Bernard, C.; Le Courtois, O.; Quittard-Pinon, F., Market value of life insurance contracts under stochastic interest rates and default risk, Insurance Math. Econom., 36, 3, 499-516 (2005) · Zbl 1242.60068
[8] Biffis, E.; Denuit, M.; Devolder, P., Stochastic mortality under measure changes, Scand. Actuar. J., 2010, 284-311 (2010) · Zbl 1226.91022
[9] Briys, E.; de Varenne, F., Life insurance in a contingent claim framework: Pricing and regulatory implications, Geneva Pap. Risk Insur. Theory, 19, 1, 53-72 (1994)
[10] Briys, E.; de Varenne, F., On the risk of insurance liabilities: Debunking some common pitfalls, J. Risk Insurance, 64, 4, 673-694 (1997)
[11] Chen, A.; Suchanecki, M., Default risk, bankruptcy procedures and the market value of life insurance liabilities, Insurance Math. Econom., 40, 231-255 (2007) · Zbl 1141.91494
[12] Christiansen, M.; Steffensen, M., Safe-side scenarios for financial and biometrical risk, Astin Bull., 43, 3, 323-357 (2013) · Zbl 1290.91083
[13] Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors (CEIOPS), 2009. CEIOPS’ Advice for Level 2 Implementing Measures on Solvency II: Standard Formula SCR-Article 109c Life Underwriting Risk (CEIOPS-DOC-42/09). https://eiopa.europa.eu/CEIOPS-Archive/Documents/Advices/CEIOPS-L2-Final-Advice-on-Standard-Formula-Life-underwriting-risk.pdf; Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors (CEIOPS), 2009. CEIOPS’ Advice for Level 2 Implementing Measures on Solvency II: Standard Formula SCR-Article 109c Life Underwriting Risk (CEIOPS-DOC-42/09). https://eiopa.europa.eu/CEIOPS-Archive/Documents/Advices/CEIOPS-L2-Final-Advice-on-Standard-Formula-Life-underwriting-risk.pdf
[14] Dahl, M., Stochastic mortality in life insurance: Market reserves and mortality-linked insurance contracts, Insurance Math. Econom., 35, 113-136 (2004) · Zbl 1075.62095
[15] Dahl, M.; Møller, T., Valuation and hedging of life insurance liabilities with systematic mortality risk, Insurance Math. Econom., 39, 193-217 (2006) · Zbl 1201.91089
[16] European Parliament, Council of the European Union, 2015. Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2009 on the Taking-Up and Pursuit of the Business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II). http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?qid=1477655611640&uri=CELEX:02009L0138-20150331; European Parliament, Council of the European Union, 2015. Directive 2009/138/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 November 2009 on the Taking-Up and Pursuit of the Business of Insurance and Reinsurance (Solvency II). http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?qid=1477655611640&uri=CELEX:02009L0138-20150331
[17] Freidlin, M., Functional Integration and Partial Differential Equations (1985), Princeton University Press: Princeton University Press New Jersey · Zbl 0568.60057
[18] Grosen, A.; Jørgensen, P. L., Valuation of early exercisable interest rate guarantees, J. Risk Insurance, 64, 481-503 (1997)
[19] Grosen, A.; Jørgensen, P. L., Fair valuation of life insurance liabilities: the impact of interest rate guarantees, surrender options, and bonus policies, Insurance Math. Econom., 26, 1, 37-57 (2000) · Zbl 0977.62108
[20] Grosen, A.; Jørgensen, P. L., Life insurance liabilities at market value: an analysis of insolvency risk, bonus policy, and regulatory intervention rules in a barrier option framework, J. Risk Insurance, 69, 1, 63-91 (2002)
[21] Jørgensen, P. L., Life insurance contracts with embedded options: Valuation, risk management, and regulation, J. Risk Finance, 3, 1, 19-30 (2001)
[22] Kiesenbauer, D., Main determinants of lapse in the german life insurance industry, N. Am. Actuar. J., 16, 1, 52-73 (2011)
[23] Kuo, W.; Tsai, C.; Chen, W., An empirical study on the lapse rate: The cointegration approach, J. Risk Insurance, 70, 3, 489-508 (2003)
[24] Le Courtois, O.; Nakagawa, H., On surrender and default risks, Math. Finance, 23, 1, 143-168 (2013) · Zbl 1282.91156
[25] Li, J.; Szimayer, A., The uncertain mortality intensity framework: Pricing and hedging unit-linked life insurance contracts, Insurance Math. Econom., 49, 3, 471-486 (2011) · Zbl 1228.91041
[26] Li, J.; Szimayer, A., The effect of policyholders’ rationality on unit-linked life insurance contracts with surrender guarantees, Quant. Finance, 14, 2, 327-342 (2014) · Zbl 1294.91079
[27] Swiss Financial Market Supervision Authority (FINMA), 2008. FINMA Circular 2008/44 “Swiss Solvency Test”. https://www.finma.ch/en/supervision/insurers/cross-sectoral-tools/swiss-solvency-test-sst/; Swiss Financial Market Supervision Authority (FINMA), 2008. FINMA Circular 2008/44 “Swiss Solvency Test”. https://www.finma.ch/en/supervision/insurers/cross-sectoral-tools/swiss-solvency-test-sst/
[28] Yong, J., 1997. Relations Among ODEs, PDEs, FSDEs, BSDEs, and FBSDEs. In: Proceedings of the 36th Conference on Decision & Control, San Diego, California USA.; Yong, J., 1997. Relations Among ODEs, PDEs, FSDEs, BSDEs, and FBSDEs. In: Proceedings of the 36th Conference on Decision & Control, San Diego, California USA.
[29] Yong, J.; Zhou, X. Y., Stochastic Controls: Hamiltonian Systems and HJB Equations (1999), Springer: Springer New York · Zbl 0943.93002
[30] Zaglauer, K.; Bauer, D., Risk-neutral valuation of participating life insurance contracts in a stochastic interest rate environment, Insurance Math. Econom., 43, 29-40 (2008) · Zbl 1140.91431
[31] Zvan, R.; Forsyth, P. A.; Vetzal, K. R., PDE methods for pricing barrier options, J. Econom. Dynam. Control, 24, 1563-1590 (2000) · Zbl 0967.91023
[32] Zvan, R., Forsyth, P.A., Vetzel, K.R., 1996. Robust Numerical Methods for PDE Models of Asian Options. Technical Report CS-96-28, Department of Computer Science, University of Waterloo.; Zvan, R., Forsyth, P.A., Vetzel, K.R., 1996. Robust Numerical Methods for PDE Models of Asian Options. Technical Report CS-96-28, Department of Computer Science, University of Waterloo.
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.