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A remark on optimal variance stopping problems. (English) Zbl 1334.60061

Summary: In an optimal variance stopping problem the goal is to determine the stopping time at which the variance of a sequentially observed stochastic process is maximized. A solution method for such a problem has been recently provided by J. L. Pedersen [Stochastics 83, No. 4–6, 505–518 (2011; Zbl 1249.62006)]. Using the methodology developed by J. L. Pedersen and G. Peskir [Math. Financ. Econ. 10, No. 2, 203–220 (2016; Zbl 1334.60066)], our aim is to show that the solution to the initial problem can be equivalently obtained by constraining the variance stopping problem to the expected size of the stopped process and then by maximizing the solution to the latter problem over all the admissible constraints. An application to a diffusion process used for modeling the dynamics of interest rates illustrates the proposed technique.

MSC:

60G40 Stopping times; optimal stopping problems; gambling theory
60J60 Diffusion processes
62L15 Optimal stopping in statistics
90C20 Quadratic programming
91G80 Financial applications of other theories

References:

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