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Conditions for the propagation of memory parameter from durations to counts and realized volatility. (English) Zbl 1253.62077

Summary: We establish sufficient conditions on durations that are stationary with finite variance and memory parameter \(d\in[0,\frac12)\) to ensure that the corresponding counting process \(N(t)\) satisfies \(\mathrm{Var} N(t)\sim Ct^{2d+1}\) (\(C>0\)) as \(t\to \infty\), with the same memory parameter \(d\in[0,\frac12)\) that was assumed for the durations. Thus, these conditions ensure that the memory parameter in durations propagates to the same memory parameter in the counts. We then show that any autoregressive conditional duration \(\mathrm{ACD}(1,1)\) model with a sufficient number of finite moments yields short memory in counts, whereas any long memory stochastic duration model with \(d>0\) and all finite moments yields long memory in counts, with the same \(d\). Finally, we provide some results about the propagation of long memory to the empirically relevant case of realized variance estimates affected by market microstructure noise contamination.

MSC:

62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
60G10 Stationary stochastic processes
60G55 Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes)
60J75 Jump processes (MSC2010)
62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics
91B84 Economic time series analysis

Software:

FinTS

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