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Mean absolute percentage error and bias in economic forecasting. (English) Zbl 1239.91124

Summary: This article develops a simple theoretical framework to show how forecasters may bias downward point predictions under the assumption that the asymmetric loss function is directly related to the (Mean) Absolute Percentage Error \((M)APE\).

MSC:

91B82 Statistical methods; economic indices and measures
62P20 Applications of statistics to economics
Full Text: DOI

References:

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This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.