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Applications and extensions of a technique for estimator densities. (English) Zbl 1229.62019

Summary: Applications are given of a formula for the exact probability density function of the maximum likelihood estimates of a statistical model, where the data generating model is allowed to differ from the estimation model. The main examples are supported by simulation experiments. Curved exponential families are investigated, for which an approach is described that can be used in many practical situations. The distribution of a maximum likelihood estimator in exponential regression is developed. Nonlinear regression is then considered, with an example of a model discrepancy situation arising in ELISA immunoassays and similar biochemical titrations. An incorrect logistic model is specified for a titration curve that is used for describing the reaction of a chemical sample to applied substrate concentration. A method is suggested to reduce the amount of bias in the estimate of binding affinity. Finally, there is a prospective discussion of other possible uses of the technique, including general comparisons of sets of alternative models in frequentist and Bayesian settings, applications to robust estimation and extensions beyond maximum likelihood estimates.

MSC:

62F10 Point estimation
62J02 General nonlinear regression
62J12 Generalized linear models (logistic models)
62P10 Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis
92C45 Kinetics in biochemical problems (pharmacokinetics, enzyme kinetics, etc.)
65C60 Computational problems in statistics (MSC2010)