×

On guaranteed parameter estimation of a multiparameter linear regression process. (English) Zbl 1193.93167

Summary: This paper presents a sequential estimation procedure for the unknown parameters of a continuous-time stochastic linear regression process. As an example, the sequential estimation problem of two dynamic parameters in stochastic linear systems with memory and in autoregressive processes is solved. The estimation procedure is based on the least squares method with weights and yields estimators with guaranteed accuracy in the sense of the \(L_q\)-norm for fixed \(q\geq 2\).
The proposed procedure works in the mentioned examples for all possible values of unknown dynamic parameters on the plane \(\mathbb R^2\) for the autoregressive processes and on the plane \(\mathbb R^2\) with the exception of some lines for the linear stochastic delay equations. The asymptotic behaviour of the duration of observations is determined.
The general estimation procedure is designed for two or more parametric models. It is shown that the proposed procedure can be applied to the sequential parameter estimation problem of affine stochastic delay differential equations and autoregressive processes of an arbitrary order.

MSC:

93E10 Estimation and detection in stochastic control theory
93E12 Identification in stochastic control theory
60H10 Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis)

References:

[1] Brockwell, P. J., Levy-driven CARMA processes, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 53, 113-124 (2001) · Zbl 0995.62089
[2] Galtchouk, L.; Konev, V., On sequential estimation of parameters in semimartingale regression models with continuous time parameter, The Annals of Statistics, 29, 5, 1508-1536 (2001) · Zbl 1043.62067
[3] Gushchin, A. A.; Küchler, U., Asymptotic inference for a linear stochastic differential equation with time delay, Bernoulli, 5, 6, 1059-1098 (1999) · Zbl 0983.62049
[4] Konev, V. V.; Pergamenshchikov, S. M., Sequential estimation of the parameters of diffusion processes, Problems of Information Transmission, 21, 1, 48-62 (1985), (in Russian) · Zbl 0566.62069
[5] Konev, V. V.; Pergamenshchikov, S. M., Sequential estimation of the parameters of linear unstable stochastic systems with guaranteed accuracy, Problems of Information Transmission, 28, 4, 35-48 (1992), (in Russian) · Zbl 0801.62069
[6] Küchler, U.; Vasiliev, V., On sequential parameter estimation for some linear stochastic differential equations with time delay, Sequential Analysis, 20, 3, 117-146 (2001) · Zbl 0985.62065
[7] Küchler, U.; Vasiliev, V., On sequential identification of a diffusion type process with memory, (Proceedings symp. int. fed. autom. contr. SYSID-2003 (2003), Rotterdam: Rotterdam Holland), 1217-1221
[8] Küchler, U.; Vasiliev, V., Sequential identification of linear dynamic systems with memory, Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 8, 1, 1-24 (2005) · Zbl 1062.62152
[9] Küchler, U.; Vasiliev, V., On sequential estimators for an affine stochastic delay differential equations, (Iske, A.; Levesley, J., Algorithms for approximation. Proceedings of the 5th international conference. Algorithms for approximation. Proceedings of the 5th international conference, Chester, July 2005 (2006), Springer-Verlag: Springer-Verlag Berlin, Heidelberg), 287-296 · Zbl 1117.65011
[12] Liptzer, R. S.; Shiryaev, A. N., Statistics of random processes (1977), Springer-Verlag: Springer-Verlag New York, Heidelberg · Zbl 0364.60004
[13] Liptzer, R. S.; Shiryaev, A. N., Theory of martingales (1989), Kluwer: Kluwer Dordrecht · Zbl 0728.60048
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.