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Negative binomial-Lindley distribution and its application. (English) Zbl 1188.91092

Summary: The modeling of claims count is one of the most important topics in actuarial theory and practice. Many attempts were implemented in expanding the classes of mixed and compound distributions, resulting in a better fit on count data. In some cases, it is proven that mixed distributions, in particular mixed Poisson and mixed negative binomial, provide better fit compared to other distributions. In this study, we introduce a new mixed negative binomial distribution by mixing the distributions of negative binomial \((r,p)\) and Lindley (\(\theta\)), where the reparameterization of \(p = \exp(-\lambda)\) is considered. The closed form and the factorial moment of the new distribution, i.e., the negative binomial-Lindley distribution, are derived. In addition, the parameters estimation for negative binomial-Lindley via the method of moments (MME) and the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are provided. The application of negative binomial-Lindley distribution is carried out on two samples of insurance data. Based on the results, it is shown that the negative binomial-Lindley provides a better fit compared to the Poisson and the negative binomial for count data where the probability at zero has a large value.

MSC:

91B30 Risk theory, insurance (MSC2010)
62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics