×

Estimation and control of an optimization-based model with sticky prices and wages. (English) Zbl 1178.91120

Summary: This paper provides estimates of an optimization-based equilibrium model with sticky prices and wages. The estimated model is used to analyze the welfare properties of various interest rate rules for conducting monetary policy. An important feature of this model is that it involves a tradeoff between the variances of price and wage inflation and the output gap. This tradeoff implies that it is desirable for the monetary authority to respond to wage inflation, in addition to price inflation, output, and past interest rates, when setting the current interest rate. The issue whether wages and prices can be indexed to steady-state inflation has important implications both for the characterization of optimal interest rate rules and interest rate volatility. In particular, optimal policy in the presence of indexation induces implausibly high steady-state inflation.

MSC:

91B64 Macroeconomic theory (monetary models, models of taxation)
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Amato, J. D.; Laubach, T., The value of interest rate smoothing: how the private sector helps the Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review, Third Quarter, 47-64 (1999)
[2] Ambler, S., Guay, A., Phaneuf, L., 1999. Wage contracts and labor adjustment costs as endogenous propagation mechanisms. CREFE Working Paper no. 69.; Ambler, S., Guay, A., Phaneuf, L., 1999. Wage contracts and labor adjustment costs as endogenous propagation mechanisms. CREFE Working Paper no. 69.
[3] Batini, N.; Haldane, A. G., Forward-looking rules for monetary policy, (Taylor, J. B., Monetary Policy Rules (1999), University of Chicago Press: University of Chicago Press Chicago), 157-192
[4] Berkowitz, J., Kilian, L., 1996. Recent developments in bootstrapping time series. Manuscript.; Berkowitz, J., Kilian, L., 1996. Recent developments in bootstrapping time series. Manuscript. · Zbl 0949.62022
[5] Bernanke, B. S.; Mihov, I., Measuring monetary policy, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 869-902 (1998)
[6] Calvo, G. A., Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework, Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 383-398 (1983)
[7] Christiano, L. J.; Eichenbaum, M.; Evans, C. L., Sticky price and limited participation models of money: a comparison, European Economic Review, 41, 1201-1249 (1997)
[8] Christiano, L. J.; Eichenbaum, M.; Evans, C. L., Monetary policy shocks: what have we learned and to what end?, (Taylor, J. B.; Woodford, M., Handbook of Macroeconomics, Vol. 1A (1999), Elsevier: Elsevier Amsterdam), 65-148
[9] Clarida, R.; Gali, J.; Gertler, M., Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: evidence and some theory, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115, 147-180 (2000) · Zbl 1064.91512
[10] Erceg, C.J., 1997. Nominal wage rigidities and the propagation of monetary disturbances. Board of Governors International Finance Discussion Paper no. 590.; Erceg, C.J., 1997. Nominal wage rigidities and the propagation of monetary disturbances. Board of Governors International Finance Discussion Paper no. 590.
[11] Erceg, C. J.; Henderson, D. W.; Levin, A. T., Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts, Journal of Monetary Economics, 46, 281-313 (2000)
[12] Gali, J., How well does the IS-LM model fit postwar U.S. data?, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, 709-738 (1992)
[13] Huang, K., Liu, Z., 2002. Staggered price setting, staggered wage setting, and business cycle persistence. Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming.; Huang, K., Liu, Z., 2002. Staggered price setting, staggered wage setting, and business cycle persistence. Journal of Monetary Economics, forthcoming.
[14] Huang, K., Liu, Z., Phaneuf, L., 2000. On the transmission of monetary policy shocks. CREFE Working Paper no. 112R.; Huang, K., Liu, Z., Phaneuf, L., 2000. On the transmission of monetary policy shocks. CREFE Working Paper no. 112R.
[15] Ireland, P. N., A small, structural, quarterly model for monetary policy evaluation, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 47, 83-108 (1997)
[16] Ireland, P.N., 1998. A method for taking models to the data. Manuscript.; Ireland, P.N., 1998. A method for taking models to the data. Manuscript.
[17] Kim, J., Constructing and estimating a realistic optimizing model of monetary policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, 45, 329-359 (2000)
[18] Leeper, E. M.; Sims, C. A.; Zha, T., What does monetary policy do?, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1-63 (1996)
[19] Lucas, R. E., Econometric policy evaluation: a critique, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1, 14-46 (1976)
[20] Mulligan, C. B., Substitution over time: another look at life-cycle labor supply, (Bernanke, B. S.; Rotemberg, J. J., NBER Macroeconomics Annual (1998), MIT Press: MIT Press Cambridge), 75-134
[21] Rotemberg, J. J.; Woodford, M., An optimization-based econometric framework for the evaluation of monetary policy, (Bernanke, B. S.; Rotemberg, J. J., NBER Macroeconomics Annual (1997), MIT Press: MIT Press Cambridge), 297-346
[22] Rotemberg, J. J.; Woodford, M., Interest-rate rules in an estimated sticky price model, (Taylor, J. B., Monetary Policy Rules (1999), University of Chicago Press: University of Chicago Press Chicago), 57-119
[23] Taylor, J. B., Discretion versus policy rules in practice, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214 (1993)
[24] Taylor, J. B., Monetary Policy Rules (1999), University of Chicago Press: University of Chicago Press Chicago
[25] Taylor, J. B., Introduction, (Taylor, J. B., Monetary Policy Rules (1999), University of Chicago Press: University of Chicago Press Chicago), 1-14
[26] Taylor, J. B., Staggered price and wage setting in macroeconomics, (Taylor, J. B.; Woodford, M., Handbook of Macroeconomics, Vol. 1B (1999), Elsevier Science: Elsevier Science Amsterdam), 1009-1050
[27] Woodford, M., 1999. Optimal monetary policy inertia. NBER Working Paper no. 7261.; Woodford, M., 1999. Optimal monetary policy inertia. NBER Working Paper no. 7261.
[28] Woodford, M., 2000. A neo-Wicksellian framework for the analysis of monetary policy. Manuscript.; Woodford, M., 2000. A neo-Wicksellian framework for the analysis of monetary policy. Manuscript.
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.