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Statistical inference for start-up demonstration tests with rejection of units upon observing \(d\) failures. (English) Zbl 1169.62349

Summary: We consider statistical inference for the success probability in the case of start-up demonstration tests where rejection of units is possible when a pre-fixed number of failures is observed before the required number of consecutive successes is achieved for acceptance of the unit. Since the expected value of the stopping time is not a monotone function of the unknown parameter, the method of moments is not useful in this situation. Therefore, we discuss two estimation methods for the success probability: (1) the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and (2) Bayesian estimation with a beta prior. We examine the small-sample properties of the MLE and Bayesian estimator. Finally, we present an example to illustrate the method of inference discussed here.

MSC:

62N05 Reliability and life testing
62F15 Bayesian inference
62N02 Estimation in survival analysis and censored data
65C60 Computational problems in statistics (MSC2010)
62N03 Testing in survival analysis and censored data
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References:

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