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Mixture modelling of recurrent event times with long-term survivors: Analysis of Hutterite birth intervals. (English) Zbl 1155.62459

Summary: We propose a mixture model that combines a discrete-time survival model for analyzing the correlated times between recurrent events, e.g., births, with a logistic regression model for the probability of never experiencing the event of interest, i.e., being a long-term survivor. The proposed survival model incorporates both observed and unobserved heterogeneity in the probability of experiencing the event of interest. We use Gibbs sampling for fitting of such mixture models, which leads to a computationally intensive solution to the problem of fitting survival models for multiple event time data with long-term survivors. We illustrate our Bayesian approach through an analysis of Hutterite birth histories.

MSC:

62N99 Survival analysis and censored data
62F15 Bayesian inference
62J12 Generalized linear models (logistic models)
65C60 Computational problems in statistics (MSC2010)

Software:

BUGS
Full Text: DOI

References:

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