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Semiparametric power envelopes for tests of the unit root hypothesis. (English) Zbl 1152.91713

Summary: This paper derives asymptotic power envelopes for tests of the unit root hypothesis in a zero-mean \(AR(1)\) model. The power envelopes are derived using the limits of experiments approach and are semiparametric in the sense that the underlying error distribution is treated as an unknown infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Adaptation is shown to be possible when the error distribution is known to be symmetric and to be impossible when the error distribution is unrestricted. In the latter case, two conceptually distinct approaches to nuisance parameter elimination are employed in the derivation of the semiparametric power bounds. One of these bounds, derived under an invariance restriction, is shown by example to be sharp, while the other, derived under a similarity restriction, is conjectured not to be globally attainable.

MSC:

91B82 Statistical methods; economic indices and measures
62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics
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