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Estimates of random walk exit probabilities and application to loop-erased random walk. (English) Zbl 1110.60046

Summary: We prove an estimate for the probability that a simple random walk in a simply connected subset \(A\) of \(Z^2\) starting on the boundary exits \(A\) at another specified boundary point. The estimates are uniform over all domains of a given inradius. We apply these estimates to prove a conjecture of S. Fomin in 2001 concerning a relationship between crossing probabilities of loop-erased random walk and Brownian motion.

MSC:

60G50 Sums of independent random variables; random walks
60J45 Probabilistic potential theory
60J65 Brownian motion
82B41 Random walks, random surfaces, lattice animals, etc. in equilibrium statistical mechanics
60F99 Limit theorems in probability theory