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Maximum likelihood estimators in a statistical model of natural catastrophe claims with trend. (English) Zbl 1087.62118

The catastrophe claims form a sequence \(\{X_1,\dots,X_n\}\) of independent r.v.s with CDFs \(F_i\). In the Nevzorov record model \( F_i=F^{\gamma^{i-1}}\) only record indicators \(I_i=\mathbf{1}\{X_i>\max\{X_1,\dots,X_{i-1}\}\}\) are observed. In the three-parameter model \(F_i(x)=\exp(-\gamma^{i-1}(Ax)^{-\alpha})\), \(x>0\) and \(X_i\) are observed. The maximum likelihood estimators for the “trend” parameter \(\gamma\) are constructed in both models and their asymptotic normality is demonstrated. Analysis of data on hurricane (US) and taifun (Japan) events claims is considered.

MSC:

62P05 Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics
62G32 Statistics of extreme values; tail inference
62F12 Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators

Software:

ismev
Full Text: DOI

References:

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