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Long-term memory and applying the multi-factor ARFIMA models in financial markets. (English) Zbl 1059.91077

Summary: Exploiting the classical R/S and modified R/S analysis, we first reveal the evidence of long-term memory in liquidity, volume, and volatility. Thereafter, we estimate the fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average ARFIMA models by both the exact-maximum likelihood (EML) and the modified-profile likelihood (MPL) methods. Furthermore, based on the theory of financial economics, we extend the simple ARFIMA models to the Multi-Factor ARFIMA models by incorporating the mutual relationships among financial market variables and present the effectiveness of the Multi-Factor ARFIMA models in financial markets.

MSC:

91B82 Statistical methods; economic indices and measures
91B28 Finance etc. (MSC2000)
91B84 Economic time series analysis
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