Understanding mid-life and older age mortality declines: Evidence from union army veterans. (English) Zbl 1038.62098
Summary: Infectious disease earlier in life had a scarring effect on older age mortality among those reaching middle age around 1900, with the strongest negative effect on survival of having grown up in a large city. The effect of reduced early life and young adult infectious disease rates accounts for 13% of the 21 percentage point increase in survival rates among 50–64 year old males in the 20th century. Reductions in mortality from infectious and other acute disease account for another 13% of the increase.
MSC:
| 62P10 | Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis |
| 91D20 | Mathematical geography and demography |
| 92D30 | Epidemiology |
| 62N02 | Estimation in survival analysis and censored data |
| 62N99 | Survival analysis and censored data |
References:
| [1] | Anderson, R.N., 1999. United States Lifetables, 1997. National Vital Statistics Reports, December 13, 1999. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs; Anderson, R.N., 1999. United States Lifetables, 1997. National Vital Statistics Reports, December 13, 1999. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs |
| [2] | Barker, D. J.P., Fetal and Infant Origins of Adult Disease (1992), British Medical Journal Publishing Group: British Medical Journal Publishing Group London |
| [3] | Barker, D. J.P., Mothers, Babies, and Disease in Later Life (1994), British Medical Journal Publishing Group: British Medical Journal Publishing Group London |
| [4] | Berkeley Mortality Database. http://demog.berkeley.edu; Berkeley Mortality Database. http://demog.berkeley.edu |
| [5] | Christensen, K.; Vaupel, J. W.; Holm, H. V.; Yashin, A. I., Mortality among twins age 6fetal origins hypothesis versus twin method, British Medical Journal, 310, 432-436 (1995) |
| [6] | Costa, D. L., Height, weight, wartime stress, and older age mortalityevidence from the Union Army records, Explorations in Economic History, 30, 424-449 (1993) |
| [7] | Costa, D. L., The Evolution of Retirement: an American Economic History, 1880-1990 (1998), University of Chicago Press: University of Chicago Press Chicago |
| [8] | Costa, D. L., Understanding the twentieth century decline in chronic conditions among older men, Demography, 37, 53-72 (2000) |
| [9] | Cutler, D.; McClellan, M.; Newhouse, J. P.; Remler, D., Are medical prices declining? Evidence from heart attack treatments, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113, 991-1024 (1998) |
| [10] | Doblhammer, G.; Vaupel, J. W., Life span depends on month of birth, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 98, 5, 2934-2939 (2001) |
| [11] | Elo, I. T.; Preston, S. H., Effects of early-life conditions on adult mortalitya review, Population Index, 58, 186-212 (1992) |
| [12] | Finlayson, R., Ischaemic heart disease, aortic aneurysms, and atherosclerosis in the city of London, 1868-1982, (Bynum, W. F.; Lawrence, C.; Nutton, V., The Emergence of Modern Cardiology. Part of series. Medical History, Supplement No. 5 (1985), Welcome Institute for the History of Medicine: Welcome Institute for the History of Medicine London), 151-168 |
| [13] | Fleming, P. R., A Short History of Cardiology (1997), Rodopi: Rodopi Amsterdam, Atlanta, GA |
| [14] | Gavrilov, L. A.; Gavrilov, N. S., Season of birth and human longevity, Journal of Anti-Aging Medicine, 2, 365-366 (1999) |
| [15] | Grambsch, P. M.; Therneau, T. M., Proportional hazards tests and diagnostics based on weighted residuals, Biometrika, 81, 515-526 (1994) · Zbl 0810.62096 |
| [16] | Kannisto, V., 1994. Development of oldest-old mortality, 1950-1990. Odense University Press, Odense, Denmark. http://www.demogr.mpg.de/Papers/Books/Monographs1/OldestOld.htm; Kannisto, V., 1994. Development of oldest-old mortality, 1950-1990. Odense University Press, Odense, Denmark. http://www.demogr.mpg.de/Papers/Books/Monographs1/OldestOld.htm |
| [17] | Kannisto, V.; Christensen, K.; Vaupel, J. W., No increased mortality later in life for cohorts born during famine, American Journal of Epidemiology, 145, 987-994 (1997) |
| [18] | Manton, K. G.; Stallard, E.; Corder, L., Changes in the age dependence of mortality and disabilitycohort and other determinants, Demography, 34, 135-158 (1997) |
| [19] | Preston, S. H.; Haines, M., Fatal Years: Child Mortality in Late Nineteenth Century America (1991), Princeton University Press: Princeton University Press Princeton, NJ |
| [20] | Steckel, R.H., Floud, R. (Eds.), 1997. Health and Welfare during Industrialization. University of Chicago Press, Chicago.; Steckel, R.H., Floud, R. (Eds.), 1997. Health and Welfare during Industrialization. University of Chicago Press, Chicago. |
| [21] | United States Center for Health Statistics, 2000. Health, United States, 2000 with Adolescent Health Chartbook. United States Government Printing Office, Washington, DC. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs; United States Center for Health Statistics, 2000. Health, United States, 2000 with Adolescent Health Chartbook. United States Government Printing Office, Washington, DC. http://www.cdc.gov/nchs |
| [22] | Velkova, A.; Wolleswinkel-Van den Bosch, J.; Mackenbach, J., The east-west life expectancy gapdifferences in mortality from conditions amenable to medical intervention, International Journal of Epidemiology, 26, 75-84 (1997) |
| [23] | Williamson, J., Coping with City Growth During the British Industrial Revolution (1990), Cambridge University Press: Cambridge University Press Cambridge, New York |
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.
