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On filtering for a hidden Markov chain under square performance criterion. (English. Russian original) Zbl 0969.93041

Probl. Inf. Transm. 36, No. 3, 213-219 (2000); translation from Probl. Peredachi Inf. 36, No. 3, 22-28 (2000).
Let \(\theta(t)\) be a nonobservable Markov chain with discrete time and with a finite number of states \(\{a_1,\dots, a_n\}\). Let the conditional distribution of the observations \(X_t\in \mathbb{R}^d\) be \({\mathbf P}\{X_t\leq x\mid \theta(t)\}= F_{\theta(t)}(x)\), where \(F_{a_1}(x),\dots, F_{a_n}(x)\) are known distribution functions in \(\mathbb{R}^d\). The problem of filtering consists in the reconstruction of \(\theta(t)\) from the observations \(X_k\), \(k\leq t\). In the case of a Markov chain with rate transitions, an asymptotic formula for the mean-square error of the optimal filter is obtained.

MSC:

93E11 Filtering in stochastic control theory
93C55 Discrete-time control/observation systems