×

Fundamentals and Bayesian analyses of decision problems with fuzzy-valued utilities. (English) Zbl 0949.91504

Summary: A manageable model to deal with general single-stage statistical decision problems with fuzzy-valued consequences is presented. The model is based on the notion of fuzzy random variable, as defined by M. L. Puri and D. Ralescu [J. Math. Anal. Appl. 114, 409-422 (1986; Zbl 0592.60004)], and also on a crisp ranking method for fuzzy numbers introduced by L. M. Campos and A. González [Fuzzy Sets Syst. 29, 145-153 (1989; Zbl 0672.90001)]. Fundamentals of the fuzzy utility function representing the preference pattern of the decision maker are established to guarantee the existence of this function by means of an axiomatic development. Bayesian analyses of these statistical decision problems in normal and extensive forms are formalized, and conditions for the equivalence of these analyses are given. Finally, an example illustrating the Bayesian analysis is considered.

MSC:

91B06 Decision theory
03E72 Theory of fuzzy sets, etc.
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Adamo, J. M., Fuzzy decision trees, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 4, 207-219 (1980) · Zbl 0444.90004
[2] Berger, J. O., Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis (1993), Springer-Verlag: Springer-Verlag New York · Zbl 0762.60001
[3] Bernardo, J. M.; Smith, A. F.M., Bayesian Theory (1994), Wiley: Wiley New York · Zbl 0796.62002
[4] Bortolan, G.; Degani, R., A review of some methods for ranking fuzzy subsets, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 15, 1-19 (1985) · Zbl 0567.90056
[5] Brown, L. D.; Purves, R., Measurable selection of extrema, Ann. Statist., 1, 902-912 (1973) · Zbl 0265.28003
[6] Campos, L. M.; González, A., A subjective approach for ranking fuzzy numbers, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 29, 145-153 (1989) · Zbl 0672.90001
[7] DeGroot, M. H., Optimal Statistical Decisions (1970), McGraw-Hill: McGraw-Hill New York · Zbl 0225.62006
[8] Delgado, M.; Verdegay, J. L.; Vila, M. A., A procedure for ranking fuzzy numbers using fuzzy relations, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 26, 49-62 (1988) · Zbl 0647.94026
[9] Dubois, D.; Prade, H., The use of fuzzy numbers in decision analysis, (Fuzzy Information and Decision Processes (1982), North Holland: North Holland Amsterdam), 309-321 · Zbl 0507.90006
[10] Dubois, D.; Prade, H., The mean value of a fuzzy number, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 24, 279-300 (1987) · Zbl 0634.94026
[11] Dubois, D.; Prade, H., A qualitative decision theory based on possibility theory, (Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Proceedings of the 14th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Montreal, 1924-1930 (1995)) · Zbl 0741.68091
[12] Fishburn, P. C., Subjective expected utility: A review of normative theories, Theory and Decision, 13, 139-199 (1981) · Zbl 0452.90004
[13] Freeling, A. N.S., Fuzzy sets and decision analysis, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 10, 341-354 (1980)
[14] Gil, M. A.; Jain, P., Comparison of experiments in statistical decision problems with fuzzy utilities, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 22, 662-670 (1992) · Zbl 0768.62004
[15] González, A., A study of the ranking function approach through mean values, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 35, 29-41 (1990) · Zbl 0733.90003
[16] Herstein, I. N.; Milnor, J., An axiomatic approach to measurable utility, Econometrica, 21, 291-297 (1953) · Zbl 0050.36705
[17] Hiai, F.; Umegaki, H., Integrals, conditional expectations, and martingales of multivalued functions, J. Multivariate Anal., 7, 149-182 (1977) · Zbl 0368.60006
[18] Himmelberg, C. J., Measurable relations, Fund. Math., 87, 53-72 (1975) · Zbl 0296.28003
[19] Jain, R., Decisionmaking in the presence of fuzzy variables, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 6, 698-703 (1976) · Zbl 0337.90005
[20] Kruse, R.; Meyer, K. D., Statistics with Vague Data (1987), Reidel: Reidel Dordrecht · Zbl 0663.62010
[21] Kwakernaak, H., Fuzzy random variables-I. Definitions and theorems, Inform. Sci., 15, 1-15 (1978) · Zbl 0438.60004
[22] Kwakernaak, H., Fuzzy random variables—II. Algorithms and examples for the discrete case, Inform. Sci.; Kwakernaak, H., Fuzzy random variables—II. Algorithms and examples for the discrete case, Inform. Sci. · Zbl 0438.60005
[23] Lamata, M. T., A model of decision with linguistic knowledge, Mathware & Soft Comput., 3, 253-263 (1994) · Zbl 0833.68116
[24] López-Díaz, M., Medibilidad e integración de variables aleatorias difusas. Aplicación aproblemas de decisón, (PhD Thesis (1996), Univ. de Oviedo)
[25] López-Díaz, M., and Gil, M. A., Reversing the order of integration in iterated expectations of fuzzy random variables, submitted.; López-Díaz, M., and Gil, M. A., Reversing the order of integration in iterated expectations of fuzzy random variables, submitted.
[26] Nakamura, K., Preference relations on a set of fuzzy utilities as a basis for decision making, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 20, 147-162 (1986) · Zbl 0618.90001
[27] Puri, M. L.; Ralescu, D., The concept of normality for fuzzy random variables, Ann. Probab., 13, 1373-1379 (1985) · Zbl 0583.60011
[28] Puri, M. L.; Ralescu, D., Fuzzy random variables, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 114, 409-422 (1986) · Zbl 0592.60004
[29] Ralescu, D., Fuzzy random variables revisited, (Proceedings IFES’95, Vol. 2 (1995)), 993-1000, Yokohama
[30] Stojaković, M., Fuzzy conditional expectation, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 52, 53-60 (1992) · Zbl 0782.60009
[31] Stojaković, M., Fuzzy random variables, expectation, and martingales, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 184, 594-606 (1994) · Zbl 0808.60005
[32] Tong, R. M.; Bonissone, P. P., A linguistic approach to decisionmaking with fuzzy sets, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 10, 716-723 (1980)
[33] Tsumura, Y.; Terano, T.; Sugeno, M., Fuzzy fault tree analysis, (Summary of Papers on General Fuzzy Problems, Report No. 7 (1981), Tokyo Institute of Technology), 21-25
[34] von Neumann, J.; Morgenstern, O., Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (1953), Princeton U.P: Princeton U.P Princeton · Zbl 0053.09303
[35] Watson, S. R.; Weiss, J. J.; Donnell, M. L., Fuzzy decision analysis, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 9, 1-9 (1979)
[36] Whalen, T., Decisionmaking under uncertainty with various assumptions about available information, IEEE Trans. Systems Man Cybernet., 14, 888-900 (1984)
[37] Wonnacott, R. J.; Wonnacott, T. H., Introductory Statistics (1985), Wiley: Wiley New York · Zbl 0383.62001
[38] Yager, R. R., A procedure for ordering fuzzy subsets of the unit interval, Inform. Sci., 24, 143-161 (1981) · Zbl 0459.04004
[39] Yuan, Y., Criteria for evaluating fuzzy ranking methods, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 44, 139-157 (1991) · Zbl 0747.90003
[40] Zadeh, L. A., The concept of a linguistic variable and its application to approximate reasoning, Parts 1, 2, 3, Inform. Sci., 9, 43-80 (1975) · Zbl 0404.68075
[41] Zhong, C.; Zhou, G., The equivalence of two definitions of fuzzy random variables, (Proceedings of the 2nd IFSA Congress. Proceedings of the 2nd IFSA Congress, Tokyo (1987)), 59-62
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.