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Heteroskedastic cointegration. (English) Zbl 0755.62085

Summary: This paper develops an asymptotic theory of estimation and inference in ’cointegrated’ regression models with errors displaying nonstationary variances. Least squares estimates are shown to be consistent at a \(T^{1/2}\) rate. Hypothesis testing requires the use of a robust covariance matrix estimate, in contrast to earlier work on cointegrated regressions. The inference theory is not nuisance-free, but preliminary investigations indicate that approximation by the normal distribution may be adequate in practice.

MSC:

62P20 Applications of statistics to economics
62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
62J05 Linear regression; mixed models
62F12 Asymptotic properties of parametric estimators
62F05 Asymptotic properties of parametric tests
Full Text: DOI

References:

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