Uniform asymptotic optimality of linear predictions of a random field using an incorrect second-order structure. (English) Zbl 0716.62099
For a random field z(t) defined for \(t\in R\subseteq {\mathbb{R}}^ d\) with specified second-order structure (mean function m and covariance function K), optimal linear prediction based on a finite number of observations is a straightforward procedure. Suppose \((m_ 0,K_ 0)\) is the second- order structure used to produce the predictions when in fact \((m_ 1,K_ 1)\) is the correct second-order structure and \((m_ 0,K_ 0)\) and \((m_ 1,K_ 1)\) are “compatible” on R, that is the two Gaussian measures associated are mutually absolutely continuous. For bounded R, as the points of observation become increasingly dense in R, predictions based on \((m_ 0,K_ 0)\) are shown to be uniformly asymptotically optimal relative to the predictions based on the correct \((m_ 1,K_ 1)\). Then it becomes inconsequential to distinguish between compatible second-order structures for purposes of linear prediction in that region.
Explicit bounds on this rate of convergence are obtained in some special cases in which \(K_ 0=K_ 1\). A necessary and sufficient condition for consistency of best linear unbiased predictors is obtained, and the asymptotic optimality of these predictors is demonstrated under a compatibility condition on the mean structure.
Explicit bounds on this rate of convergence are obtained in some special cases in which \(K_ 0=K_ 1\). A necessary and sufficient condition for consistency of best linear unbiased predictors is obtained, and the asymptotic optimality of these predictors is demonstrated under a compatibility condition on the mean structure.
Reviewer: X.Guyon
MSC:
62M20 | Inference from stochastic processes and prediction |
62M40 | Random fields; image analysis |
62M30 | Inference from spatial processes |
41A25 | Rate of convergence, degree of approximation |