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Asymptotic expansions of the distributions of some test statistics for Gaussian ARMA processes. (English) Zbl 0659.62105

Let \(\{X_ t\}\) be a Gaussian ARMA process with spectral density \(f_{\theta}(\lambda)\), where \(\theta\) is an unknown parameter. The problem considered is that of testing a simple hypothesis \(H:\theta =\theta_ 0\) against the alternative \(A:\theta \neq \theta_ 0\). For this problem we propose a class of tests \({\mathcal S}\), which contains the likelihood ratio (LR), Wald (W), modified Wald (MW) and Rao (R) tests as special cases.
Then we derive the \(\chi^ 2\) type asymptotic expansion of the distribution of \(T\in {\mathcal S}\) up to order \(n^{-1}\), where n is the sample size. Also we derive the \(\chi^ 2\) type asymptotic expansion of the distribution of T under the sequence of alternatives \(A_ n:\theta =\theta_ 0+\epsilon /\sqrt{n}\), \(\epsilon >0\). Then we compare the local powers of the LR, W, MW, and R tests on the basis of their asymptotic expansions.

MSC:

62M07 Non-Markovian processes: hypothesis testing
62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
62E20 Asymptotic distribution theory in statistics
62M15 Inference from stochastic processes and spectral analysis
62F03 Parametric hypothesis testing
Full Text: DOI

References:

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