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All the Devils Are Here: The Hidden History…
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All the Devils Are Here: The Hidden History of the Financial Crisis (original 2010; edition 2010)

by Bethany McLean, Joe Nocera

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7492131,687 (3.99)18
McLean and Nocera have written a gripping book, which is saying something when the subject is financial markets. Having read other books about the financial crisis, like Lewis' The Big Short, I was frustrated by treatments that only looked at one piece of the overall financial system without answering the big question: how did we get here? All the Devils does exactly that, explaining who did what and what motivated them to do it. On an abstract level, it upsets me because I can see the disaster brewing as the narrative progresses. My immediate experience of reading, however, is one of fascination at a case study of systemic complexity, unintended consequences and unexamined models.

An example of what satisfies me: people like Nassim Taleb rail against the folly of models like the Value at Risk (VoR) metrics developed by J. P. Morgan in the early 1990s because they discounted low probability, high impact events. That makes sense, as far as it goes. However, despite Taleb's blustering about how stupid people are, the folks at J. P. Morgan weren't idiots. They were extremely aware of the limits of the VoR model. It wasn't intended to be a stand-alone tool for assessing all risk. As others adopted the model, however, awareness of these limits eroded. It was a gradual process. If you pick up Taleb or Lewis' books, however, all you get is a snapshot of the end state of the system, where things have become extremely irrational and the heroes are pointing this out. Such accounts beg the question of how such an irrational system could develop in the first place, and All the Devils are Here does the best job of answering that question of anything that I've read. ( )
  JLHeim | May 8, 2012 |
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Great history and explanation of the calamity we did to ourselves.

All the Devils Are Here is a well written narrative that manages to highlight the individual stories without obscuring institutional and path dependent explanations. ( )
  bennylope | Feb 24, 2022 |
A good look at the 2008 financial crisis and the sub-prime mortgage issue. The authors name the people who almost destroyed our economy. The details of the mortgage and banking system are so complicated and hard to understand, this book helps make sense of what was done to all of us. ( )
  MMc009 | Jan 30, 2022 |
Is this book perfect? I am sure people smarter than me could point out problems but that wouldn't change the fact that it is a must read. It gives the scope, the magnitude and perspective of greed and willful ignorance that led to the crisis. It is truly shocking, just beyond even my tolerance for stupidity. I watched an interview with the authors and you could tell they were mad. They were upset by what they had found and I understand why now. ( )
  mcsp | Jan 25, 2021 |
Received from Helen
  LOM-Lausanne | Mar 19, 2020 |
Having been a stock broker, this book was highly interesting, and I have to say that I knew this was going to happen. ( )
  John_Danenbarger | Sep 2, 2019 |
four stars for spending a whole chapter explaining the invention and the functions of credit default swaps. eat the rich, women warned you, etc etc all remains the same. ( )
  adaorhell | Aug 24, 2018 |
A detailed and easy(ish) to follow account of the mortgage crisis. The author did a good job of going back to the roots of the problem and following it through it's various permutations. As a person who rarely thinks about investment and high financial matters, it was pretty terrifying to see just how quickly things can go bad. The author made it clear that even people who worked at the very heart were blind to the impending catastrophe. It's true that some did recognize the bubble, but absolutely no one could tell what the ultimate outcome would be. Scary! ( )
  Juva | Apr 9, 2018 |
This book is a good one--a cautionary tale for anyone who thinks the market can and will regulate itself, and also a fair warning to those who put their trust in the market without asking hard questions about the nature of that trust. ( )
  TDWolsey | Dec 8, 2016 |
Honestly, I still have a hard time understanding CDOs, SIVs and credit default swaps, but this is an excellent report on how things went so very wrong. The narrator of the audiobook version was superb. ( )
  pidgeon92 | Apr 1, 2013 |
Forgot to review right after I read it -- so I lost all my bookmarks when it automagically checked itself in. Damn ebooks. :( In any case, definitely recommended. Fascinating look at the players in the financial crisis, and the long slow way that it unfolded WAY before 2008. Works well in concert with 13 Bankers. (If by well, you mean: may make you despair for the future.) ( )
  epersonae | Mar 30, 2013 |
McLean and Nocera have written a gripping book, which is saying something when the subject is financial markets. Having read other books about the financial crisis, like Lewis' The Big Short, I was frustrated by treatments that only looked at one piece of the overall financial system without answering the big question: how did we get here? All the Devils does exactly that, explaining who did what and what motivated them to do it. On an abstract level, it upsets me because I can see the disaster brewing as the narrative progresses. My immediate experience of reading, however, is one of fascination at a case study of systemic complexity, unintended consequences and unexamined models.

An example of what satisfies me: people like Nassim Taleb rail against the folly of models like the Value at Risk (VoR) metrics developed by J. P. Morgan in the early 1990s because they discounted low probability, high impact events. That makes sense, as far as it goes. However, despite Taleb's blustering about how stupid people are, the folks at J. P. Morgan weren't idiots. They were extremely aware of the limits of the VoR model. It wasn't intended to be a stand-alone tool for assessing all risk. As others adopted the model, however, awareness of these limits eroded. It was a gradual process. If you pick up Taleb or Lewis' books, however, all you get is a snapshot of the end state of the system, where things have become extremely irrational and the heroes are pointing this out. Such accounts beg the question of how such an irrational system could develop in the first place, and All the Devils are Here does the best job of answering that question of anything that I've read. ( )
  JLHeim | May 8, 2012 |
People refer to economics as a science. A science can, and does, go off the rails occasionally, but once its errors are discovered, the lesson is learned: not so with economics. There is a sentence, towards the end of the book which so perfectly sums up the financial sector: "Much of what took place during the crisis was immoral,unjust, craven, delusional behaviour - but it wasn't criminal". A fine distinction.

This book centres upon the American financial market and I would love to take the moral high ground by saying that the World economic crash was all "their fault", and that we good old Brits would never be so foolish. Sadly, I think that it is more a measure of scale that lead to America becoming the home of this disaster. I will also point out, although it must be obvious from ever word that I write, that I have incredibly little knowledge of the financial sector and that all my views have been informed by this book and the press.

Having announced my ignorance, it becomes all the more difficult to see why things that, admittedly with hind sight, seem so blindingly obvious to me, were a mystery to these seers. The answer is, I believe two fold: firstly greed - plain and simple. Secondly, the financial markets are mainly boys' toys and a level of testosterone seems to have been involved. Nobody ever admitted to a mistake; your institution might be in danger of collapse, but if I just hold my nerve and deny any problem with my investments, I will make a killing (and if I do not, the shorts will see that I am personally super rich).

This book may be short on surprises, the fourth estate has produced so many facts and opinions that I would be sceptical of an all new view; but it does do an excellent job of marshalling the facts. I, as a self confessed financial ignoramus, could follow the argument and, I get the impression that a person more literate in the field could take even more from this tome. The depressing thing is that, even if we do eventually extricate ourselves from the mess, the likelihood seems to be that we will be lead to another fiscal bubble. Even now, there are significant elements fighting to prevent any governmental control of the markets. This could prove to be detrimental, whichever side is successful: too little control and we will certainly be repeating this situation in ten to fifteen years, too much control and we stifle the flow of capital so essential to any Western democracy.

McLean and Nocera are too wise to offer solutions - that is not the purpose of this book. Before a definitive answer can be found, it is necessary for as many people as possible to understand the problem. I am far better educated upon the topic now, than I was before reading this work; and for that, I would like to offer the authors my sincere thanks. ( )
  the.ken.petersen | Oct 11, 2011 |
To declare a minor special interest in this story, I was a Spanish real estate broker through this period and can attest to the similarity of experience between the US and Spain. Conversations from the late 1990's onwards revolved around property values since people were surprised to find that they could double their salaries each year by investing in apartments.

The authors of this excellent book explain the supply side of mortgage financing and its regulatory framework but don't explore the demand side at any great length. They show that a property bubble needs a large volume of buyers and sellers and that it needs to be "enabled" by knocking out regulatory and financing obstacles, aspects that are brilliantly illustrated, although they could have added the contribution of the public in its mad rush for the free money. I'm thinking about the property flippers who were just as anxious to get their extra $100.000 as the Wall St. banks were to get their extra $1.000.000.000.

The book could possibly have benefited from more historical context, ie. putting the Sub-Prime Crisis alongside other historic speculative bubbles, since there are remarkable similarities. A good reference in this respect is Edward Chancellor 's "Devil Take the Hindmost" showing for example the City in the 1720's exhausting its possibilities of lending against South Sea Company stock and the South Sea Company itself exhausting the possibilities of lending to its own buyers - sounds familiar?

The contrast between early and later Sub Prime could have had greater emphasis. In the early stages it should have been possible to halt the bad practices, and the authors show that some regulators did in fact try, most notably in 1994, James Bothwell of the General Accounting Office and in 1998 Brooksley Born, chairwoman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Bothwell underwent a brutal attack by Congress with the SEC, Treasury and Fed refusing to give him support, and Born received a screaming telephone call from Deputy Treasury Secretary, Larry Summers saying that bankers were threatening to move their business to London. As she says, "There was so much pressure. The derivatives dealers did not want their market looked at - at all. For some of them, derivatives trading made up 40% of their profits."

In the later stages there was nothing to be done and the authors show the Sub Prime behemoth taking over the US financial system. Under Clinton, Treasury Secretary Rubin and Deputy Secretary Summers provided this special market with top level political protection and at the Fed, Chairman Greenspan prioritized deregulation and actually lauded the market efficiency of derivatives in apportioning risk. An interesting secondary question is whether they actually believed this, or were they were just protecting a valuable new investment game run by friends. McLean and Nocera equivocate on this point, seeming to partially accept both arguments.

The authors show that creating junk mortgages is one thing and selling them is quite another.

Selling CDOs (collateralized debt obligations) required tranches (slicing up the debt) so that parts of it could receive an AAA rating (equivalent to treasury bonds) from ratings agencies, thereby allowing conservative investment by heavily controlled pension fund type capital. It thus became a game of investors "buying ratings" ie. receiving a higher yield on supposedly AAA type risk. The big profits came from manufacturing AAA rated securities and the authors show the complicity of the ratings agencies, quoting from 2007 Josh Anderson, the manager of asset backed securities at PIMCO saying, "Moody's doesn't stand up to Wall St. ... its mistakes are so obvious". S&P, Moody's and Fitch all knew about the rising early defaults rate on sub prime but were clearly afraid to downgrade.

So how did it all happen? McLean and Nocera interestingly show how Wall St. had for some time wished to avoid dealing with the GSE's (Government Sponsored Enterprises, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) and eventually found a way round them by directly securitizing sub prime mortgages from non bank lenders. The real risks were hidden under AAA ratings while simultaneously a group of extreme free market activists (strangely similar to Russia's Bolsheviks using communism) were grabbing power under cover of the new ideology.

As with the Bolsheviks, most of the leaders were Jewish (Greenspan, Rubin, Summers, Bernanke + a majority of Goldman Sachs), a fact that isn't mentioned in the book although the authors are happy to go at some length into the Italian background of Mozilo, and the African background of O'Neal and Raines.

It's also probably not a coincidence that after the collapse, the same Goldman team in government arranged for the highly favourable bailout of Wall St investment banks at enormous taxpayer expense, with the prime beneficiary of course being Goldman Sachs itself. Heads we win, tails you lose.

This is the best book I've read so far about the Debt Crisis (Grand Theft), especially for the dateline after 17th June 2007 when Merrill Lynch seized $850 million of Bear Stearns CDOs only to discover that nobody wanted to buy them. ( )
  Miro | Jun 26, 2011 |
Enjoyable read. Covered all the major players and how they helped join the pillaging and burning of America. ( )
  bermandog | Feb 22, 2011 |
Was it Fannie Mae? Was it the lack of regulatory oversight? Was it the rating agencies? Was it pure greed?

Yes, yes, yes and yes. Plus, there were lots of other factors.

Bethany McLean and Joe Nocera put together an insightful look at the many factors that created the housing bubble and amplified the destruction when it popped in All the Devils are Here: The Hidden History of the Financial Crisis. Pundits and purists have tried to pin the blame on a single element. It seems clear that many “devils” were at work. It’s not just institutions that failed in the crisis. The authors paint the pictures of key individuals who helped inadvertently build up the housing bubble or allowed for it cause mass destruction.

More:
http://www.compliancebuilding.com/2011/01/24/what-caused-the-2008-crisis-all-the... ( )
  dougcornelius | Jan 23, 2011 |
I'm not quite sure what makes this book, as the subtitle proclaims, the "hidden" history of the financial crisis -- by now, all the avenues the author explores have been fairly well trodden. Their biggest contribution is probably to pull everything together and synthesize it, thus saving readers from having to wade through what I think are probably smarter and more insightful books, such as The Greatest Trade Ever by Greg Zuckerman, Chain of Blame by two other reporters, and Fool's Gold by Gillian Tett. All of those books came out in late 2009, and genuinely broke new analytical ground. So, this book focuses squarely on the issue of subprime loans, and looks at the ways in which the regulators, investment banks, rating agencies, Fannie/freddie, the derivatives market etc. not only prolonged but exacerbated the subprime bubble, so that the carnage when it burst was much worse. Only it doesn't explain the thesis that forthrightly -- you need to dig through about 150 pages before realizing the picture the authors are slowly drawing for you.

It's up to date -- dealing with some of the stuff that came out during the Senate's look at Goldman's trades, for anyone who doesn't want to have wade through 900 pages of exhibits on file with the Senate committee. But I didn't come away with any fresh "aha" moments, and I don't think that's just because I've been living this stuff for 2.5 years. It's well-written, but not nearly as insider-y or compelling in tone as many other books (like Andrew Ross Sorkin's tome, or even the Merrill Lynch book by Greg Farrell, Crash of the Titans, that I just finished reading) so that doesn't add value. While it tries to explain complicated issues like synthetic swaps, it doesn't really do so clearly enough for a general reader, I fear.

Recommended only to those who can't get enough financial crisis reading under their belt, or who have resisted reading about the crisis until now: 3.9 stars. ( )
  Chatterbox | Jan 17, 2011 |
Once upon a time, not so long ago, really — it was 1999 — there was a group of three exceedingly smart men whom Time Magazine called The Committee to Save the World. In fact, these three men — Alan Greenspan, Larry Summers, and Robert Rubin — seemed to think they were the smartest people in the whole wide world. Together, they had put in place the economic policies of the Clinton Administration, and, boy, did things look rosy then, back in 1999, with a big budget surplus and the Dow Jones averages heading for Neptune!

So, here we are, in the closing days of 2010 — a good time to reassess those three men in light of the economic events of the past three years. The result, of course, is that they don’t look so smart anymore. But, guess what? Larry Summers has yet to exit the Obama White House, where he’s been the driving force behind this Administration’s economic policymaking — and Robert Rubin is reported to be on the short list to replace him!

Of the three men, only Alan Greenspan, now retired as head of the Federal Reserve Bank after serving under Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, and two generations of Bushes, has actually apologized after a fashion for his stubborn refusal to face economic facts that were obvious at the time to anyone well versed in finance who wasn’t blinded by greed, willful incompetence, stupidity, or right-wing ideology. The other two men? Well, we haven’t heard so much as a hint of an admission of responsibility from them.

So, what did “The Committee to Save the World” do to lay the foundations for the 2008 financial crisis? As best I can tell, collectively they made three fateful errors:

1. they engineered the repeal of consumer protections put in place during the Great Depression (the Glass-Steagall Act);
2. they routinely deferred to Wall Street when shaping economic policy, paying special attention to the effect of their actions on the bond market (where the really big money is to be found); and
3. they stubbornly refused to recognize the dangers in the alarming growth of the unregulated “derivatives” market. (If you don’t understand what a derivative is, don’t sweat it. Nobody else does, either, not really.)

Not so incidentally, these same three geniuses were also instrumental in fashioning “The Washington Consensus” that guided the work of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank and caused tens of millions of people to starve in dozens of developing nations over the last decade and a half. But back to Topic A: the financial crisis.

We’ve identified three of the principal culprits. But, in fairness to Greenspan, Summers, and Rubin, there were many other characters who played leading roles in this still-unfolding tragedy. Some of their actions merely reflected changes set in motion years before. And nobody in any government position, including the Oval Office, calls all the shots. But the buck stops . . . somewhere. When it comes to the public policy that foreshadowed the financial crisis, the committee that “saved” the world bears a lot of the blame.

Now about those other leading characters in this modern immorality play. Chief among them, as best I can tell, were a mixed bag of people both in and out of government:

* On Wall Street, there were dozens of senior executives at such financial powerhouses as Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch, Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, AIG, Citibank, and many others whose shared delusion that money is life’s greatest good helped set the course for economic ruin. Some of these men (and a very few women) were brilliant and found ways to make lots of money even when conditions were really, really bad. Others were — well, not to put too fine an edge on things — downright stupid. Their firms (principally, Bear Stearns, Lehman, AIG, and Merrill Lynch) either disappeared entirely in a whirlwind of worthless paper or took refuge under someone else’s wing. By contrast, the champion money-maker, Goldman Sachs, racked up billions in profits by victimizing some of its biggest clients. Being Goldman Sachs, of course, none of its partners faced criminal charges, as they clearly would have done in a marketplace guided by reason and fairness.
* On Main Street, there were also dozens of co-conspirators. For the most part, these were the people who ran the “non-bank financial companies” like Countrywide and other firms that sold mortgages to people who couldn’t possibly afford them. Some were outright crooks running fly-by-night operations, many of them classic bucket-shops, others simply self-deluding or (again that word) stupid. Most of them got filthy rich, though, at least for a time. Dozens should have gone to jail, but did they? What do you think?
* Back in our nation’s capital, two institutions unfamiliar to most of the American public found themselves in the middle of the maelstrom: the two quasi-private mortgage repositories, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Don’t feel sorry for them, though, because, to cop a phrase from an earlier practitioner of misdirection, “mistakes were made.” The leadership of both institutions grabbed at opportunities to make a quick buck. They succeeded, for a time, but only until the profits disappeared — and we taxpayers are now footing the bill to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars.
* Don’t forget George W. Bush. The decider-in-chief may not have played a meaningful role in economic decision-making (if only because it’s highly doubtful he had a clue about what was going on). But, dazzled by the argument that the “free market” would regulate the financial sector all by itself, Bush II deliberately appointed to key regulatory positions such world-class ignoramuses as Christopher Cox to head the Securities and Exchange Commission. It wasn’t enough that the regulatory agencies’ teeth had dulled considerably over the years and that the powers-that-were in the Clinton Administration had refused to sharpen them. No, George W. Bush insisted on appointing financial regulators whose stated intention was not to do their jobs.

So, what does all this bloviating have to do with All the Devils Are Here? This is, after all, (ostensibly) a book review. It’s simple, really: Bethany McLean and Joe Nocera’s superb book brought into high relief the roots of the financial crisis like no other book I’ve read and made it possible for me to untangle in my mind the complex interrelationships among Wall Street, Main Street, the Fed, and the Treasury Department. In previous months, I’d read Too Big to Fail: The Inside Story of How Wall Street and Washington Fought to Save the Financial System–and Themselves by Andrew Ross Sorkin, The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine by Michael Lewis, The Devil’s Casino: Friendship, Betrayal, and the High Stakes Games Played Inside Lehman Brothers by Vicky Ward, and others, all of them excellent books. But McLean and Nocera’s treatment of the crisis from a long-term perspective, with its roots in the evolution of housing policy as well as greed and excess on Wall Street, put the whole question into perspective. If you’re looking for the best way to begin understanding the financial meltdown of 2007-2008 that came close to tanking the global economy, start with All the Devils Are Here. ( )
1 vote malwarwick | Jan 9, 2011 |
Covers both mortgage fraud and securitization follies, though with substantially more emphasis on the latter. Argues that though Fannie and Freddie Mac were wrongly blamed by certain groups (Republicans) for causing the mortgage crisis by encouraging loans to subprime borrowers, they were causally connected to the great collapse in another way: They promoted securitization, which breaks the link between the lender and the borrower, though when they taught the market it could be done they were securitizing prime loans. Then, they dominated the prime market, creating an incentive for private companies to find markets Fannie and Freddie weren’t in. Deregulation in the 1980s also comes in for its share of blame. Basically, the government stayed out when it needed to intervene, and then intervened only in haphazard and often counterproductive ways, especially since there was no single regulator with authority over all the entities involved. It’s an interesting if depressing longer view, with no solutions in sight; it might make a good second book to read on the crisis if you are so moved. You need to know what “being long” a stock means – the book assumes you already know. The authors are relatively sympathetic to Goldman Sachs, considering them just more effective at what everyone else on Wall Street wanted to do (though they also note that Goldman drove the culture on Wall Street, so I’m not as sympathetic), stating that Goldman lost money despite shorting mortgage-backed securities and those who relied on them. ( )
  rivkat | Dec 27, 2010 |
Law Library Treatises HB3717 2008 .M35 2010
  tlholt02_webManageme | Dec 14, 2010 |
could not read
  daleriva | Jan 26, 2011 |
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