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2016 Azorean regional election

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2016 Azorean regional election

← 2012 16 October 2016[1] 2020 →

57 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Azores[2]
29 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout40.8% Decrease 7.0 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Vasco Cordeiro 2016.jpg
Duarte Freitas PSD Acores 2015.png
Leader Vasco Cordeiro Duarte Freitas Artur Lima
Party PS PSD CDS–PP
Leader since 2012 2013 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel[3] São Miguel[3] Terceira[3]
Last election 31 seats, 49.0% 20 seats, 33.0% 3 seats, 5.6%
Seats won 30 19 4
Seat change Decrease 1 Decrease 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 43,274 28,793 6,674
Percentage 46.4% 30.9% 7.2%
Swing Decrease 2.6 pp Decrease 2.1 pp Increase 1.6 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Zuraida Soares João Corvelo Paulo Estêvão
Party BE PCP PPM
Alliance CDU
Leader since 2016 2008
Leader's seat São Miguel[3] Flores Corvo[3]
Last election 1 seat, 2.3% 1 seats, 1.9% 1 seat, 0.9%
Seats won 2 1 1
Seat change Increase 1 Steady 0 Steady 0
Popular vote 3,414 2,437 866
Percentage 3.7% 2.6% 0.9%
Swing Increase 1.4 pp Increase 0.7 pp Increase 0.8 pp

Map showing island constituencies won by political parties

President before election

Vasco Cordeiro
PS

Elected President

Vasco Cordeiro
PS

The 2016 Azorean regional election (Portuguese: Eleições regionais dos Açores de 2016) was on October 16 of the same year. In this election, the incumbent president of the regional government, led by the Socialist Vasco Cordeiro, was seeking a second term.

In this election, the PS maintained their absolute majority but lost one seat and lost 2.6 percent of the vote compared to 2012. The Social Democrats also lost one seat although their vote share fall was lower than the Socialists. The big winner was the People's Party which gain 7 percent of the vote and gained one seat compared to 2012. The Left Bloc also won one more seat compared to last time while the CDU maintained their only seat but at the same time, gained in share of the vote and was the most voted party in the island of Flores. The PPM also maintained their seat in the island of Corvo.

Turnout in this election was the lowest ever, as only 40.84 percent of the electorate cast a ballot.

Background

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Leadership changes and challenges

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Social Democratic Party

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Following the defeat of the PSD in the 2012 regional election, then party leader Berta Cabral resigned and a leadership ballot was called for 18 December 2012. Only one candidate was on the ballot: Duarte Freitas. Freitas was easily elected leader with almost 93 percent of the votes:[4]

Ballot: 18 December 2012
Candidate Votes %
Duarte Freitas 1,401 92.6
Blank/Invalid ballots 112 7.4
Turnout 1,513
Source: [5]

Electoral system

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The Azores regional parliament elects 57 members through a proportional system in which the 9 islands elect a number of MPs proportional to the number of registered voters. MPs are allocated by using the D'Hondt method. 5 members are also elected for a Compensation constituency.

Constituency Total
MPs
Registered
voters[6]
Corvo 2 334
Faial 4 13,019
Flores 3 3,187
Graciosa 3 4,411
Pico 4 13,496
Santa Maria 3 5,499
São Jorge 3 8 648
São Miguel 20 127,206
Terceira 10 52,409
Compensation 5
Total 57 228,259

Current parties in parliament

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The parties that up to date of election were represented in the Assembly and their leaders, are:

Party Leader MPs
Socialist Party (PS) Vasco Cordeiro 31
Social Democratic Party (PPD/PSD) Duarte Freitas 20
People's Party (CDS–PP) Artur Lima 3
Unitary Democratic Coalition (PCP–PEV) Aníbal Pires 1
Left Bloc (BE) Zuraida Soares 1
People's Monarchist Party (PPM) Paulo Estêvâo 1

Opinion Polling

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Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Vote

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Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample
size
TO PS PSD CDS–PP BE CDU O Lead
Regional election 16.10.16 40.8% 46.4 30.9 7.2 3.7 2.6 9.2 15.5
UCP-CESOP[7] 16.10.16 ? ? 52.5 29.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 7.5 23.5
Norma Açores 20.09.16–28.09.16 ? 65.4% 66.9 20.7 3.2 1.7 1.2 6.3 46.2
Legislative election 04.10.15 41.2% 40.4 36.1 3.9 7.8 2.5 9.3 4.3
Norma Açores 15.04.15–21.04.15 503 ? 33.2 27.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 6.1 5.3
EP election 25.05.14 19.7% 41.3 29.6 3.9 3.7 21.5 11.7
Local elections 29.09.13 54.0% 46.9 41.9 2.6 1.6 1.7 5.3 5.0
Regional election 14.10.12 47.9% 49.0 33.0 5.6 2.3 1.9 8.2 16.0

Voter turnout

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The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.

Turnout Time
11:00 16:00 19:00
2012 2016 ± 2012 2016 ± 2012 2016 ±
Total 10.34% 7.47% Decrease 2.96 pp 34.37% 29.29% Decrease 5.08 pp 47.86% 40.85% Decrease 7.01 pp
Sources[8]

Results

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Summary of the 16 October 2016 Legislative Assembly of Azores elections results
Parties Votes % ±pp swing MPs MPs %/
votes %
2012 2016 ± % ±
Socialist 43,274 46.43 Decrease2.6 31 30 Decrease1 52.63 Decrease1.8 1.13
Social Democratic 28,793 30.90 Decrease2.1 20 19 Decrease1 33.33 Decrease1.8 1.08
People's 6,674 7.16 Increase1.6 3 4 Increase1 7.02 Increase1.8 0.98
Left Bloc 3,414 3.66 Increase1.4 1 2 Increase1 3.51 Increase1.8 0.96
Democratic Unity Coalition[A] 2,437 2.61 Increase0.7 1 1 Steady0 1.75 Steady0.0 0.67
People–Animals–Nature 1,342 1.44 Increase0.8 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
People's Monarchist 866 0.93 Increase0.8 1 1 Steady0 1.75 Steady0.0 1.88
United Party of Retirees and Pensioners 451 0.48 0 0.00 0.0
Earth 343 0.37 Decrease0.4 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
Portuguese Workers' Communist 299 0.32 Steady0.0 0 0 Steady0 0.00 Steady0.0 0.0
FREE/Time to move Forward 227 0.24 0 0.00 0.0
Democratic Republican 83 0.09 0 0.00 0.0
Socialist Alternative Movement 67 0.07 0 0.00 0.0
Total valid 88,270 94.69 Decrease0.8 57 57 Steady0 100.00 Steady0.0
Blank ballots 2,697 2.90 Decrease0.3
Invalid ballots 2,227 2.40 Increase1.1
Total 93,194 100.00
Registered voters/turnout 228,162 40.85 Decrease7.0
A Portuguese Communist Party (1 MPs) and "The Greens" (0 MPs) ran in coalition.
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PS
46.43%
PSD
30.90%
CDS-PP
7.16%
BE
3.66%
CDU
2.61%
PAN
1.44%
PPM
0.93%
Others
1.57%
Blank/Invalid
5.30%
Parliamentary seats
PS
52.63%
PSD
33.33%
CDS-PP
7.02%
BE
3.51%
CDU
1.75%
PPM
1.75%

Distribution by constituency

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Results of the 2016 election of the Legislative Assembly of Azores
by constituency
Constituency % S % S % S % S % S % S Total
S
PS PSD CDS-PP BE CDU PPM
Corvo 36.7 1 26.2 - 0.4 - 1.6 - 32.0 1 2
Faial 32.6 2 41.2 2 6.5 - 6.4 - 4.6 - 1.5 - 4
Flores 23.7 1 21.0 1 17.0 - 1.3 - 32.5 1 3
Graciosa 54.6 2 36.7 1 1.7 - 1.2 - 0.5 - 0.5 - 3
Pico 39.5 2 37.8 2 14.1 - 1.1 - 1.5 - 0.4 - 4
Santa Maria 50.3 2 29.1 1 1.8 - 4.4 - 8.3 - 0.6 - 3
São Jorge 39.5 1 21.4 1 26.3 1 2.8 - 3.0 - 0.7 - 3
São Miguel 49.2 12 30.6 7 3.2 - 4.2 1 1.5 - 1.2 - 20
Terceira 49.0 6 28.8 3 10.1 1 3.1 - 1.5 - 0.3 - 10
Compensation 1 1 2 1 - - 5
Total 46.4 30 30.9 19 7.2 4 3.7 2 2.6 1 0.9 1 57
Source: Azores Government

References

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  1. ^ "ALRAA-2016 - marcação oficial da data da eleição - 16 outubro 2016" (in Portuguese). Lisbon, Portugal: Comissão Nacional de Eleições. 30 June 2016. Retrieved 7 July 2016.
  2. ^ Alteração à Lei Eleitoral da ALRA dos Açores - CNE (in Portuguese), Lisbon, Portugal: Comissão Nacional dos Eleições, archived from the original on 2009-02-19
  3. ^ a b c d e Assembleia Legislativa dos Açores - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
  4. ^ "Duarte Freitas eleito presidente do PSD/Açores" (in Portuguese). Lisbon, Portugal: Diário de Notícias. 19 December 2012. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Duarte Freitas eleito líder do PSD-Açores com 92,6%" (in Portuguese). Lisbon, Portugal. 19 December 2012. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  6. ^ Mapa de Deputados (PDF), Lisbon, Portugal: Diário da Républica, 19 August 2016
  7. ^ This poll provides data ranges and/or approximations. In order to simplify, the average of these data is given.
  8. ^ "Candidatos apelam à participação nos Açores". eco.pt (in Portuguese). ECO. 16 October 2016. Retrieved 18 August 2023.
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