2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana
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| Elections in Louisiana |
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 Government |
The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]
Trump won the state with 58.09% of the vote, while Clinton received 38.45%. Trump performed slightly better in the state than Mitt Romney in 2012, but also slightly worse than John McCain in 2008. In contrast, Clinton's vote share in the state was a decrease from Barack Obama's vote shares in 2012 and 2008, where he earned 40.58% and 39.93%, respectively. Louisiana is also one of 11 states whose electoral votes went to Bill Clinton twice, but which Hillary Clinton did not win.[3] Six of those states, including Louisiana, have not supported any Democratic presidential candidate since Bill Clinton (The other five being Arkansas, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Missouri), while an additional five (Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania) had all voted Democratic at least twice since Bill Clinton's re-election in 1996.[4]
Primary elections
[edit]Twenty-four candidates were on the ballot.[5]
Democratic primary
[edit] | This section should include a summary of 2016 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary. (July 2016) |
| Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 221,733 | 71.12% | 37 | 7 | 44 |
| Bernie Sanders | 72,276 | 23.18% | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| Steve Burke | 4,785 | 1.53% | |||
| John Wolfe Jr. | 4,512 | 1.45% | |||
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,550 | 0.82% | |||
| Willie Wilson | 1,423 | 0.46% | |||
| Keith Russell Judd | 1,357 | 0.44% | |||
| Rocky De La Fuente | 1,341 | 0.43% | |||
| Michael Steinberg | 993 | 0.32% | |||
| Henry Hewes | 806 | 0.26% | |||
| Uncommitted | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 311,776 | 100% | 51 | 8 | 59 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States | |||||
Republican primary
[edit]
Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 124,854 | 41.45% | 25 | 0 | 25 |
| Ted Cruz | 113,968 | 37.83% | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| Marco Rubio | 33,813 | 11.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 19,359 | 6.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 4,544 | 1.51% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 2,145 | 0.71% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 670 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 645 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 401 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 243 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 180 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 152 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| Total: | 301,241 | 100.00% | 46 | 0 | 46 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
State Convention
[edit]On March 24, the State Convention met in an attempt to reverse the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[6] After conflicting reporting of their support for Ted Cruz, four of Rubio's five delegates publicly rebuked the reporting and committed to staying undecided.[7] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[8][9] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.
General election
[edit]Polling
[edit]Predictions
[edit]The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[10] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[11] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[14] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[15] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[16] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
[edit]
| Trump 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | Clinton 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Donald Trump | 1,178,638 | 58.09% | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 780,154 | 38.45% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 37,978 | 1.87% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 14,031 | 0.69% | |
| Independent | Evan McMullin | 8,547 | 0.42% | |
| Independent | Darrell Castle | 3,129 | 0.15% | |
| Write-in | Others | 2,330 | 0.11% | |
| Independent | Christopher Robert Keniston | 1,881 | 0.09% | |
| Independent | Laurence Kotlikoff | 1,048 | 0.05% | |
| Independent | Alyson Kennedy | 480 | 0.02% | |
| Independent | Gloria La Riva | 446 | 0.02% | |
| Independent | Jerry White | 370 | 0.02% | |
| Total votes | 2,029,032 | 100.00% | ||
Donald Trump carried the state, lengthening the Republican streak in Louisiana to 5 straight contests.
By parish
[edit]| Parish | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Acadia | 21,162 | 77.26% | 5,638 | 20.58% | 589 | 2.16% | 15,524 | 56.68% | 27,389 |
| Allen | 6,867 | 74.28% | 2,106 | 22.78% | 272 | 2.94% | 4,761 | 51.50% | 9,245 |
| Ascension | 36,143 | 66.10% | 16,476 | 30.13% | 2,059 | 3.77% | 19,667 | 35.97% | 54,678 |
| Assumption | 6,714 | 61.57% | 3,931 | 36.05% | 259 | 2.38% | 2,783 | 25.52% | 10,904 |
| Avoyelles | 11,165 | 67.32% | 5,035 | 30.36% | 386 | 2.32% | 6,130 | 36.96% | 16,586 |
| Beauregard | 12,238 | 81.16% | 2,393 | 15.87% | 447 | 2.97% | 9,845 | 65.29% | 15,078 |
| Bienville | 3,756 | 53.62% | 3,129 | 44.67% | 120 | 1.71% | 627 | 8.95% | 7,005 |
| Bossier | 35,474 | 71.16% | 12,641 | 25.36% | 1,733 | 3.48% | 22,833 | 45.80% | 49,848 |
| Caddo | 49,006 | 46.32% | 53,483 | 50.55% | 3,315 | 3.13% | -4,477 | -4.23% | 105,804 |
| Calcasieu | 54,191 | 64.68% | 26,296 | 31.39% | 3,298 | 3.93% | 27,895 | 33.29% | 83,785 |
| Caldwell | 3,822 | 81.46% | 788 | 16.79% | 82 | 1.75% | 3,034 | 64.67% | 4,692 |
| Cameron | 3,256 | 88.19% | 323 | 8.75% | 113 | 3.06% | 2,933 | 79.44% | 3,692 |
| Catahoula | 3,479 | 71.64% | 1,322 | 27.22% | 55 | 1.14% | 2,157 | 44.42% | 4,856 |
| Claiborne | 3,585 | 55.83% | 2,717 | 42.31% | 119 | 1.86% | 868 | 13.52% | 6,421 |
| Concordia | 5,477 | 61.73% | 3,272 | 36.88% | 123 | 1.39% | 2,205 | 24.85% | 8,872 |
| DeSoto | 8,068 | 59.76% | 5,165 | 38.26% | 267 | 1.98% | 2,903 | 21.50% | 13,500 |
| East Baton Rouge | 84,660 | 43.09% | 102,828 | 52.33% | 9,003 | 4.58% | -18,168 | -9.24% | 196,491 |
| East Carroll | 1,059 | 36.03% | 1,838 | 62.54% | 42 | 1.43% | -779 | -26.51% | 2,939 |
| East Feliciana | 5,569 | 55.46% | 4,235 | 42.17% | 238 | 2.37% | 1,334 | 13.29% | 10,042 |
| Evangeline | 10,360 | 69.61% | 4,208 | 28.28% | 314 | 2.11% | 6,152 | 41.33% | 14,882 |
| Franklin | 6,514 | 71.10% | 2,506 | 27.35% | 142 | 1.55% | 4,008 | 43.75% | 9,162 |
| Grant | 7,408 | 83.98% | 1,181 | 13.39% | 232 | 2.63% | 6,227 | 70.59% | 8,821 |
| Iberia | 20,903 | 64.41% | 10,698 | 32.96% | 853 | 2.63% | 10,205 | 31.45% | 32,454 |
| Iberville | 7,320 | 45.63% | 8,324 | 51.89% | 399 | 2.48% | -1,004 | -6.26% | 16,043 |
| Jackson | 5,169 | 69.25% | 2,139 | 28.66% | 156 | 2.09% | 3,030 | 40.59% | 7,464 |
| Jefferson | 100,398 | 55.27% | 73,670 | 40.56% | 7,571 | 4.17% | 26,728 | 14.71% | 181,639 |
| Jefferson Davis | 10,775 | 75.47% | 3,080 | 21.57% | 422 | 2.96% | 7,695 | 53.90% | 14,277 |
| Lafayette | 68,195 | 64.58% | 32,726 | 30.99% | 4,682 | 4.43% | 35,469 | 33.59% | 105,603 |
| Lafourche | 31,959 | 76.74% | 8,423 | 20.23% | 1,263 | 3.03% | 23,536 | 56.51% | 41,645 |
| LaSalle | 5,836 | 88.84% | 605 | 9.21% | 128 | 1.95% | 5,231 | 79.63% | 6,569 |
| Lincoln | 10,761 | 57.64% | 7,107 | 38.07% | 801 | 4.29% | 3,654 | 19.57% | 18,669 |
| Livingston | 48,824 | 84.57% | 6,950 | 12.04% | 1,956 | 3.39% | 41,874 | 72.53% | 57,730 |
| Madison | 1,927 | 40.72% | 2,744 | 57.99% | 61 | 1.29% | -817 | -17.27% | 4,732 |
| Morehouse | 6,502 | 54.86% | 5,155 | 43.49% | 195 | 1.65% | 1,347 | 11.37% | 11,852 |
| Natchitoches | 8,968 | 53.96% | 7,144 | 42.98% | 509 | 3.06% | 1,824 | 10.98% | 16,621 |
| Orleans | 24,292 | 14.65% | 133,996 | 80.81% | 7,524 | 4.54% | -109,704 | -66.16% | 165,812 |
| Ouachita | 41,734 | 61.36% | 24,428 | 35.91% | 1,855 | 2.73% | 17,306 | 25.45% | 68,017 |
| Plaquemines | 6,900 | 65.26% | 3,347 | 31.66% | 326 | 3.08% | 3,553 | 33.60% | 10,573 |
| Pointe Coupee | 6,789 | 57.72% | 4,764 | 40.51% | 208 | 1.77% | 2,025 | 17.21% | 11,761 |
| Rapides | 36,816 | 64.77% | 18,322 | 32.23% | 1,706 | 3.00% | 18,494 | 32.54% | 56,844 |
| Red River | 2,391 | 54.07% | 1,938 | 43.83% | 93 | 2.10% | 453 | 10.24% | 4,422 |
| Richland | 6,287 | 65.51% | 3,157 | 32.90% | 153 | 1.59% | 3,130 | 32.61% | 9,597 |
| Sabine | 7,879 | 80.50% | 1,703 | 17.40% | 205 | 2.10% | 6,176 | 63.10% | 9,787 |
| St. Bernard | 10,237 | 64.73% | 4,960 | 31.36% | 618 | 3.91% | 5,277 | 33.37% | 15,815 |
| St. Charles | 16,621 | 63.46% | 8,559 | 32.68% | 1,012 | 3.86% | 8,062 | 30.78% | 26,192 |
| St. Helena | 2,497 | 41.87% | 3,353 | 56.22% | 114 | 1.91% | -856 | -14.35% | 5,964 |
| St. James | 5,456 | 45.15% | 6,418 | 53.11% | 211 | 1.74% | -962 | -7.96% | 12,085 |
| St. John the Baptist | 7,569 | 36.49% | 12,661 | 61.04% | 513 | 2.47% | -5,092 | -24.55% | 20,743 |
| St. Landry | 21,971 | 54.96% | 17,209 | 43.05% | 797 | 1.99% | 4,762 | 11.91% | 39,977 |
| St. Martin | 16,873 | 65.53% | 8,266 | 32.10% | 611 | 2.37% | 8,607 | 33.43% | 25,750 |
| St. Mary | 14,359 | 62.77% | 8,050 | 35.19% | 468 | 2.04% | 6,309 | 27.58% | 22,877 |
| St. Tammany | 90,915 | 73.09% | 27,717 | 22.28% | 5,760 | 4.63% | 63,198 | 50.81% | 124,392 |
| Tangipahoa | 33,959 | 64.79% | 16,878 | 32.20% | 1,579 | 3.01% | 17,081 | 32.59% | 52,416 |
| Tensas | 1,182 | 46.39% | 1,332 | 52.28% | 34 | 1.33% | -150 | -5.89% | 2,548 |
| Terrebonne | 31,902 | 72.68% | 10,665 | 24.30% | 1,329 | 3.02% | 21,237 | 48.38% | 43,896 |
| Union | 7,972 | 73.18% | 2,691 | 24.70% | 231 | 2.12% | 5,281 | 48.48% | 10,894 |
| Vermilion | 20,063 | 78.27% | 4,857 | 18.95% | 712 | 2.78% | 15,206 | 59.32% | 25,632 |
| Vernon | 13,471 | 80.99% | 2,665 | 16.02% | 497 | 2.99% | 10,806 | 64.97% | 16,633 |
| Washington | 12,556 | 67.40% | 5,692 | 30.56% | 380 | 2.04% | 6,864 | 36.84% | 18,628 |
| Webster | 11,542 | 63.61% | 6,260 | 34.50% | 343 | 1.89% | 5,282 | 29.11% | 18,145 |
| West Baton Rouge | 6,927 | 54.49% | 5,383 | 42.35% | 402 | 3.16% | 1,544 | 12.14% | 12,712 |
| West Carroll | 3,970 | 83.42% | 715 | 15.02% | 74 | 1.56% | 3,255 | 68.40% | 4,759 |
| West Feliciana | 3,390 | 58.46% | 2,248 | 38.77% | 161 | 2.77% | 1,142 | 19.69% | 5,799 |
| Winn | 4,608 | 72.32% | 1,644 | 25.80% | 120 | 1.88% | 2,964 | 46.52% | 6,372 |
| Totals | 1,178,638 | 58.09% | 780,154 | 38.45% | 70,240 | 3.46% | 398,484 | 19.64% | 2,029,032 |
By congressional district
[edit]Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 69% | 27% | Steve Scalise |
| 2nd | 22% | 75% | Cedric Richmond |
| 3rd | 67% | 29% | Clay Higgins |
| 4th | 61% | 37% | Mike Johnson |
| 5th | 64% | 34% | Ralph Abraham |
| 6th | 65% | 31% | Garret Graves |
Analysis
[edit]Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[18] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.[19] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 that East Baton Rouge Parish voted for the Democratic candidate three elections in a row; Trump also became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying this parish since Richard Nixon in 1968.
Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Louisiana
- First presidency of Donald Trump
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
References
[edit]- ^ "Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- ^ "Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
- ^ "Historical U.S. Presidential Elections 1789-2020 - 270toWin". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
- ^ "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. December 4, 2015. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Epstein, Reid J. (March 24, 2016). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Rubio Louisiana Delegates Under Fire: No, We Haven't Backed Ted Cruz". Talking Points Memo. April 15, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ Katiana Krawchenko (May 4, 2016). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. May 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Louisiana Results". The New York Times. Retrieved July 21, 2020.
- ^ "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Presidential General Election Results".
External links
[edit]- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Louisiana
