2024 Moldovan presidential election
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Administrative divisions |
Moldova portal |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on 20 October 2024.[1][2]
In addition, a referendum on whether Moldova should join the European Union is to be held on the same day as the presidential election.[3]
Electoral system
[edit]Date
[edit]On 17 April 2024, Parliament speaker Igor Grosu announced the holding of the presidential election in conjunction with the referendum on joining the European Union on 20 October.[1] The decision was approved by the Parliament of Moldova on 16 May.[4][5]
Eligibility requirements
[edit]The Constitution of Moldova (Article 78, Clause 2) defines four conditions that a presidential candidate must satisfy: Moldovan citizenship, at least 40 years of age, residence in Moldova for at least 10 years, and ability to speak the state language. Article 80 of the Constitution establishes a term limit: one individual cannot serve more than 2 terms in a row.[6]
Procedure
[edit]Candidates can be nominated by a political party, an electoral alliance, or run as independents. They have to collect at least 15,000 voter signatures in their support from at least half of Moldova's level 2 administrative territorial units with at least 600 signatures in each of them.[7] The election results can be considered valid only if the turnout is above or equal to 33%. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes is elected president. If no candidate receives a majority of the votes, a second round between the top 2 candidates is held two weeks after the first round. The candidate with the largest number of votes in the second round then becomes president.[8]
Security concerns
[edit]Moldovan authorities have accused Russian-trained groups of plotting to destabilise the election. In September 2024, incidents of vandalism on the offices of the Supreme Court of Justice of Moldova and on the public broadcaster Teleradio-Moldova were attributed to the said groups.[9] In October 2024, authorities announced the discovery of a plot by Ilan Shor involving $15 million in funds from Russia that were distributed to around 130,000 people in order to bribe voters into selecting anti-Western decisions and spread disinformation against the European Union on social media, following raids on 26 locations nationwide.[10][11] Russia denied the accusations.[12]
Later that month, Moldova accused Russia of plotting to bus in voters to polling stations at the Moldovan Embassy in Moscow. In response, the EU imposed sanctions on five people and one entity involved in the influence operation, while the United States accused Russia of spending “millions of dollars” to support its preferred parties and spreading disinformation online. The Russian foreign ministry in turn accused Moldova of printing only 10,000 ballots for 500,000 eligible Moldovans living in Russia.[13]
Candidates
[edit]Name | Born | Campaign | Experience | Party | Status | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu |
24 May 1972 (52) Risipeni, Fălești District |
(website) |
President of Moldova (2020–present) Prime Minister of Moldova (2019) Minister of Education (2012–2015) |
Party of Action and Solidarity | Registered[14] | |
Alexandr Stoianoglo |
3 June 1967 (57) | Prosecutor General of Moldova (2019–2021)
Vice President of the Parliament (2009–2010) |
Party of Socialists | Registered[15] | ||
Renato Usatîi |
4 November 1978 (45) Fălești |
(website) |
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021) | Our Party | Registered[16] | |
Vasile Tarlev |
9 October 1963 (61) | Prime Minister of Moldova (2001–2008) | Future of Moldova Party endorsed by the Party of Communists |
Registered[17] | ||
Irina Vlah |
26 February 1974 (50) | (website) |
Governor of Gagauzia (2015–2023) | Independent | Registered[18] | |
Ion Chicu |
28 February 1972 (52) | Prime Minister of Moldova (2019–2020)
Minister of Finance (2018–2019) |
Party of Development and Consolidation of Moldova | Registered[19] | ||
Andrei Năstase |
6 August 1975 (49) | (website) |
Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Internal Affairs (2019) | Independent | Registered[20] | |
21 August 1972 (52) | Member of the Moldovan Parliament (2019–2021)
Minister of Youth and Sport (2013) |
Together Bloc | Registered[21] | |||
Victoria Furtună | 24 February 1981 (43) | (website) |
Prosecutor | Independent | Registered[22] | |
Tudor Ulianovschi |
25 May 1983 (41) | (website) |
Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration (2018–2019)
Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein; Permanent Representative to the United Nations (2016–2018) |
Independent | Registered[23] | |
Natalia Morari |
12 January 1984 (40)
Hîncești |
(website) |
Journalist
Host of Morari.live |
Independent | Registered[24] |
Withdrew
[edit]- Alexandru Arseni (independent), Member of the Moldovan Parliament (1990–1994)
Rejected candidates
[edit]The following people were rejected as candidates for the election by the Central Electoral Commission of Moldova:
- Valeriu Pleșca (European Social Democratic Party), Minister of Defense (2004–2007)[25]
- Vasile Bolea (Victory) Member of the Moldovan Parliament (2014–present)
- Igor Munteanu (Coalition for Unity and Welfare), Ambassador to the United States, Canada and Mexico (2010–2015)
Declined
[edit]The following people were subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous months, but they rejected the speculation and announced they would not run as a candidate:
- Ion Ceban, Mayor of Chișinău (2019–present)[26]
- Igor Dodon, President of Moldova (2016–2020)[27][28]
- Vlad Filat, Prime Minister of Moldova (2009–2013)[29]
- Teodor Cârnaț, Member of the Superior Council of Magistrates (2013–2017)
Opinion polls
[edit]Registered candidates
[edit]Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | Undecided/ Abstention/ None/ Other | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Alexandr Stoianoglo | Renato Usatîi | Vasile Tarlev | Irina Vlah | Ion Chicu | Andrei Năstase | Octavian Țîcu | Victoria Furtună | Tudor Ulianovschi | Natalia Morari | ||||
PAS | PSRM | PN | PVM | Independent | PDCM | Independent | BÎ | Independent | Independent | Independent | ||||
11–16 Oct 2024 | WatchDog[30] | 1,034 | 35.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 40.9% |
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | iData–IPP[31][32] | 1,100 | 29.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 18.9% |
13–22 Sep 2024 | ASPEN–APEC–WatchDog[33] | 1,021 | 36.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 34.6% |
13–18 Sep 2024 | iData[34] | 1,021 | 26.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 25.8% |
30 Aug–2 Sep 2024 | Intellect Group[35] | 596 | 24.5% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | – | – | – | 2.0% | 40.6% |
19–25 Aug 2024 | iData[36] | 1,004 | 27.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | – | – | – | – | 36.4% |
20–23 Aug 2024 | CBS Research–WatchDog[37] | 1,011 | 35.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 34.0% |
8–21 Jul 2024 | IMAS[38] | 1,093 | 33.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | – | 0.1% | 1.1% | 24.4% |
Hypothetical candidates
[edit]Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | Other | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | Alexandr Stoianoglo | Ion Ceban | Ilan Shor | Vladimir Voronin | Ion Chicu | Marina Tauber | Renato Usatîi | Irina Vlah | |||||
PAS | PSRM | PSRM | MAN | ȘOR | PCRM | PDCM | ȘOR | PN | Independent | |||||
28 Jun–18 Jul 2024 | CBS-AXA-IPRE | 1,119 | 30.3% | 13.0% | 1.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | – | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 23% |
23 May–13 Jun 2024 | IRI[39] | 1,225 | 34% | 18% | – | 4% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
22–27 May 2024 | iData[40] | 1,022 | 30.4% | 14.3% | – | 3.0% | – | 2.5% | 6.1% | – | 3.9% | 1.6% | 6.1% | 32.1% |
2–19 May 2024 | IMAS[41] | 1,088 | 35.2% | 16.4% | – | 5.9% | – | 5.3% | 5.7% | – | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 14.9% |
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[42] | 1,008 | 35.1% | 15.8% | – | 5.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | – | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 18.0% |
18–24 Mar 2024 | iData[43] | 1,131 | 27.9% | 13.3% | – | 4.4% | – | 2.6% | 5.7% | – | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 32.3% |
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024 | IRI[44] | 1,247 | 30% | 24% | – | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[45] | 1,104 | 29.8% | 14.8% | – | 4.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 5.0% | – | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 22.4% |
26–30 Jan 2024 | iData[46] | 1,011 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 46.2% | |||||||||
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[47] | 954 | 30.1% | 24.0% | – | 8.1% | – | 2.7% | 6.1% | – | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 13.3% |
2–24 Sep 2023 | IMAS[48] | 822 | 27.8% | 16.0% | – | 6.0% | – | 4.3% | 5.9% | – | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 24.4% |
9–23 Aug 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPP[49] | 1,215 | 29.4% | 18.1% | – | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | – | 5.1% | – | 3.0% | 30.1% |
13–28 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPRE[50] | 1,120 | 32.6% | 17.8% | – | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | – | 1.5% | 24.0% |
10–19 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[51] | 1,121 | 37.9% | 14.2% | – | 6.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | – | 3.0% | 18.3% |
2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[52] | 1,112 | 28.5% | 23.9% | – | 8.3% | – | 3.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | – | 4.1% | 18.0% |
27 Apr–8 May 2023 | iData[53] | 1,049 | 30.4% | 18.3% | – | 6.7% | 12.2% | – | 5.9% | – | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 17.7% |
4–13 Apr 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[54] | 1,015 | 38.3% | 18.4% | – | 6.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | – | 1.9% | 19.2% |
15–26 Mar 2023 | iData[55] | 1,065 | 29.4% | 17.6% | – | 7.2% | 9.2% | 0.9% | 5.4% | – | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 23.9% |
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[56] | 1,000 | 31.8% | 17.8% | – | 4.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 28.8% |
6–23 Feb 2023 | IMAS[57] | 1,100 | 25.2% | 20.4% | – | 8.2% | – | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | – | 3.8% | 24.6% |
17–26 Jan 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[58] | 1,001 | 28.2% | 17.6% | – | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 21.8% |
15–26 Dec 2022 | iData[59] | 1,006 | 27.2% | 24.1% | – | 10.0% | 13.4% | 0.6% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 16.0% |
10–29 Nov 2022 | IMAS[60] | 1,100 | 26.9% | 19.6% | – | 8.8% | – | 4.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | – | 7.3% | 21.3% |
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022 | CBS Research/IPP[61] | 1,134 | 27.3% | 15.4% | – | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | – | – | 2.9% | – | 3.5% | 30.5% |
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022 | IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI[62] | 1,066 | 34.1% | 19.1% | – | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | – | 3.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 18.1% |
6–18 Jul 2022 | IMAS[63] | 1,007 | 24.4% | 25.4% | – | 9.2% | – | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | – | c. 5.4% | 16.0% |
Second round
[edit]- Sandu vs. Ceban
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Ion Ceban | ||||
Independent | MAN | ||||
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 40.2% | 32.3% | 27.4% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[45] | 1,104 | 39.5% | 35% | 25.8% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[47] | 954 | 34% | 42% | 24% |
- Sandu vs. Chicu
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Ion Chicu | ||||
Independent | PDCM | ||||
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | iData | 1,100 | 40.7% | 30.1% | 29.2% |
- Sandu vs. Dodon
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | ||||
Independent | PSRM | ||||
2–19 May 2024 | IMAS[41] | 1,088 | 41.3% | 43.5% | 15.3% |
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 42.2% | 34.9% | 22.9% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[45] | 1,104 | 40.2% | 39.3% | 20.4% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[47] | 954 | 35% | 46% | 19% |
2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[64] | 1,112 | 38% | 45% | 17% |
- Sandu vs. Stoianoglo
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Alexandr Stoianoglo | ||||
Independent | PSRM | ||||
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | iData | 1,100 | 40.6% | 36.4% | 34.0% |
- Sandu vs. Usatîi
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Renato Usatîi | ||||
Independent | PN | ||||
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | iData | 1,100 | 38.6% | 35.6% | 25.8% |
13–18 Sep 2024 | iData[34] | 1,021 | 35.1% | 32.2% | 32.7% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[47] | 954 | 37% | 30% | 33% |
- Sandu vs. Vlah
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | None/ Undecided/ Abstention | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Irina Vlah | ||||
Independent | Independent | ||||
19 Sep–10 Oct 2024 | iData | 1,100 | 40.2% | 33.2% | 26.6% |
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 43.2% | 28.3% | 28.5% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[45] | 1,104 | 42.2% | 33% | 24.7% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[47] | 954 | 38% | 35% | 27% |
Results
[edit]Candidate | Party | |
---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Party of Action and Solidarity | |
Alexandr Stoianoglo | Party of Socialists | |
Renato Usatîi | Our Party | |
Vasile Tarlev | Future of Moldova Party | |
Irina Vlah | Independent | |
Ion Chicu | Party of Development and Consolidation | |
Andrei Năstase | Independent | |
Octavian Țîcu | Together Bloc | |
Victoria Furtună | Independent | |
Tudor Ulianovschi | Independent | |
Natalia Morari | Independent | |
Total | ||
Source: Central Electoral Commission |
References
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