2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
	Cassidy: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Perkins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ; Edwards: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% ; Pierce: 30–40% ; Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes
U.S. senator before election; Bill Cassidy; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Bill Cassidy; Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5.^[1]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Bill Cassidy, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]
Dustin Murphy, welder^[3]^[4]

Democratic Party

Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination.^[5]

Declared

Derrick Edwards, perennial candidate^[6]
Drew Knight^[7]
Adrian Perkins, mayor of Shreveport^[8]
Antoine Pierce, community activist^[9]
Peter Wenstrup, teacher^[4]

Withdrew

Dartanyon Williams, businessman and author (running for Louisiana's 6th congressional district)^[10]^[11]^[6]

Declined

Mary Landrieu, former U.S. senator^[12]
Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans^[13]

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)

Federal officials

Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States^[14]

State officials

John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana^[15]

Local officials

Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020)^[16]

Organizations

U.S. senators

Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)^[16]
Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee^[20]

Antoine Pierce (D)

Individuals

Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate^[21]

Organizations

DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare^[22]
Humanity Forward^[21]

Libertarian Party

Declared

Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon^[6]

Independents

Declared

Beryl Billiot, businessman^[23]
John Paul Bourgeois^[23]
Reno Jean Daret III^[23]
Alexander "Xan" John, businessman and law student^[23]
Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney^[24]

Withdrew

Gregory Fitch^[10]^[7]^[6]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[25]	Safe R	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections^[26]	Safe R	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[27]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[28]	Safe R	October 30, 2020
Politico^[29]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
RCP^[30]	Safe R	October 23, 2020
DDHQ^[31]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
538^[32]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Economist^[33]	Likely R	November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Dustin Murphy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Antoine Pierce (D)	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[34][1] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	6%	17%	11%	3%^[b]	21%

Head to head matchups

Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[35][2] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	33%	16%

Hypothetical polling

Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[36]^[B]	September 2–5, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	38%	37%	24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[36]^[B]	March 16, 2020	– (V)^[c]	–	48%	25%	27%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[37][3] Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	33%	2%^[d]	23%^[e]

Results

United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020^[38]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Cassidy (incumbent)	1,228,908	59.32%
	Democratic	Adrian Perkins	394,049	19.02%
	Democratic	Derrick Edwards	229,814	11.09%
	Democratic	Antoine Pierce	55,710	2.69%
	Republican	Dustin Murphy	38,383	1.85%
	Democratic	Drew Knight	36,962	1.78%
	Independent	Beryl Billiot	17,362	0.84%
	Independent	John Paul Bourgeois	16,518	0.8%
	Democratic	Peter Wenstrup	14,454	0.7%
	Libertarian	Aaron Sigler	11,321	0.55%
	Independent	M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza	7,811	0.38%
	Independent	Melinda Mary Price	7,680	0.37%
	Independent	Jamar Montgomery	5,804	0.28%
	Independent	Reno Jean Daret III	3,954	0.19%
	Independent	Alexander "Xan" John	2,813	0.14%
Total votes			2,071,543	100%
	Republican hold

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
^ Not yet released
^ "Neither" with 2%
^ "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

Partisan clients

^ ^a ^b ^c Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
^ ^a ^b The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

References

^ "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.
^ Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
^ "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
^ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
^ "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the original on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
^ ^a ^b "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
^ "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
^ Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.^{[permanent dead link]}
^ Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.
^ Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
^ ^a ^b Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
^ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.
^ "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.
^ "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the original on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
^ "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.
^ ^a ^b "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
^ "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.
^ Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ ^a ^b Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Louisiana". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
"Louisiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, Calif.
"League of Women Voters of Louisiana". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Louisiana at Ballotpedia
"Election Guides: Louisiana". Spreadthevote.org. Archived from the original on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.. (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)

Official campaign websites

Beryl Biliot (I) for Senate
John Paul Bourgeois (I) for Senate
Bill Cassidy (R) for Senate
Derrick Edwards (D) for Senate
Aaron Sigler (L) for Senate Archived October 24, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Drew Knight (D) for Senate Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Jamar "Doc" Montgomery (I) for Senate
Dustin Murphy (R) for Senate
Adrian Perkins (D) for Senate
Antoine Pierce (D) for Senate Archived August 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
Peter Wenstrup (D) for Senate

[key-34] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[37] Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%

[41] Not yet released

[43] "Neither" with 2%

[44] "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

[Perkins-36] Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.

[consumer-40] The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

[1] "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.

[2] Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.

[3] "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.

[politicsonelouisiana-4] "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.

[5] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.

[candidates-6] "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.

[greenpapersla-7] "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[8] Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.

[9] "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the original on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.

[opensecrets-10] "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[11] "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[landrieu-12] "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.

[13] Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.^{[permanent dead link]}

[Barack_Obama-14] Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.

[John_Bel_Edwards-15] Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.

[Cory_Booker-16] Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.

[DSCC-17] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.

[Louisiana_Democrats-18] "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.

[VoteVets-19] "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the original on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.

[Kamala_Harris-20] "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.

[auto1-21] "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the original on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[duh-22] "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the original on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.

[auto-23] "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.

[24] Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.

[Cook_PR-25] "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-26] "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-27] "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.

[Daily_Kos-28] "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[Politico-29] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[RCP-30] "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.

[DDHQ-31] "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.

[32] Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.

[33] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[35] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[38] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[consumerenergyalliance.org-39] Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance

[42] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[45] "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

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