Evaluating the state-of-the-art in mapping research spaces: A Brazilian case study
Fig 10
First, second and third quartiles of AUROC yielded by the Frequentist model for different prediction testing windows, when predicting the transition inactive to active for the 15,491 scientists that performed some transition in every window. Time windows for model fitting and density estimation are resp. [1990, 2004], [2002, 2004]. We consider all 3-year windows starting between 2005 and 2014 for testing the predictions.
