In the fields of forecasting and prediction, forecast skill or prediction skill is any measure of the accuracy and/or degree of association of prediction to an observation or estimate of the actual value of what is being predicted (formally, the predictand); it may be quantified as a skill score. The term 'forecast skill' may also be used qualitatively, in which case it could either refer to forecast performance according to a single metric or to the overall forecast performance based on multiple metrics.
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