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GMM, GEL, serial correlation, and asymptotic bias. (English) Zbl 1152.62360

Summary: For stationary time series models with serial correlation, we consider generalized method of moments (GMM) estimators that use heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) positive definite weight matrices and generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimators based on smoothed moment conditions. Following the analysis of W. K. Newey and R. J. Smith [Econometrica 72, No. 1, 219–255 (2004; Zbl 1151.62313)] for independent observations, we derive second order asymptotie biases of these estimators. The inspection of bias expressions reveals that the use of smoothed GEL, in contrast to GMM, removes the bias component associated with the correlation between the moment function and its derivative, while the bias component associated with third moments depends on the employed kernel function. We also analyze the case of no serial correlation, and find that the seemingly unnecessary smoothing and HAC estimation can reduce the bias for some of the estimators.

MSC:

62M10 Time series, auto-correlation, regression, etc. in statistics (GARCH)
62G05 Nonparametric estimation
62G20 Asymptotic properties of nonparametric inference

Citations:

Zbl 1151.62313
Full Text: DOI