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Lattice three-species models of the spatial spread of rabies among foxes. (English) Zbl 0952.92027

Summary: Lattice models describing the spatial spread of rabies among foxes are studied. In these models, the fox population is divided into three-species: susceptible (S), infected or incubating (I), and infectious or rabid (R). They are based on the fact that susceptible and incubating foxes are territorial while rabid foxes have lost their sense of direction and move erratically.
Two different models are investigated: a one-dimensional coupled-map lattice model, and a two-dimensional automata network model. Both models take into account the short-range character of the infection process and the diffusive motion of rabid foxes. Numerical simulations show how the spatial distribution of rabies, and the speed of propagation of the epizootic front depend upon the carrying capacity of the environment and diffusion of rabid foxes out of their territory.

MSC:

92D30 Epidemiology
37B15 Dynamical aspects of cellular automata

References:

[1] DOI: 10.1016/S0022-5193(85)80276-9 · doi:10.1016/S0022-5193(85)80276-9
[2] DOI: 10.1098/rspb.1986.0078 · doi:10.1098/rspb.1986.0078
[3] DOI: 10.1143/PTP.72.480 · Zbl 1074.37521 · doi:10.1143/PTP.72.480
[4] DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevA.30.2047 · doi:10.1103/PhysRevA.30.2047
[5] DOI: 10.1142/S0129183194000751 · doi:10.1142/S0129183194000751
[6] DOI: 10.1088/0305-4470/25/9/018 · Zbl 0752.92024 · doi:10.1088/0305-4470/25/9/018
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