Singular vector barotropic ensemble forecast for tropical cyclone track. (English) Zbl 1153.86318
Editorial remark: This paper is very similar to [Thai J. Math. 6, No. 2, 279–296 (2008; Zbl 1175.86006)].
Summary: Singular vector is a method to generate several initial conditions for weather prediction model from the same observation data. In this paper, a singular vector associated with a barotropic model is applied to tropical cyclone track forecasts by creating 50 initial conditions. These initial conditions are used to create 50 track predictions with slightly different initial conditions, called ensemble prediction system.
Summary: Singular vector is a method to generate several initial conditions for weather prediction model from the same observation data. In this paper, a singular vector associated with a barotropic model is applied to tropical cyclone track forecasts by creating 50 initial conditions. These initial conditions are used to create 50 track predictions with slightly different initial conditions, called ensemble prediction system.
MSC:
| 86A10 | Meteorology and atmospheric physics |
| 65Z05 | Applications to the sciences |
| 15A18 | Eigenvalues, singular values, and eigenvectors |
| 34A34 | Nonlinear ordinary differential equations and systems |
