×

Irreversible investment with Cox-Ingersoll-Ross type mean reversion. (English) Zbl 1230.91185

Summary: We solve a Dixit and Pindyck type irreversible investment problem in continuous time under the assumption that the project value follows a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. This setup works well for modeling foreign direct investment in the framework of real options, when the exchange rate is uncertain and the project value fixed in a foreign currency. We indicate how the solution qualitatively differs from the two classical cases: geometric Brownian motion and geometric mean reversion. Furthermore, we discuss analytical properties of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process and demonstrate potential advantages of this process as a model for the project value with regard to the classical ones.

MSC:

91G50 Corporate finance (dividends, real options, etc.)
91G80 Financial applications of other theories
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Abramowitz, M.; Stegun, I. A., Handbook of Mathematical Functions (1972), Dover Books on Advanced Mathematics · Zbl 0515.33001
[2] Alos, E.; Ewald, C-O., Malliavin differentiability of the heston volatility and applications to option pricing, Advances in Applied Probability, 40, 1 (2008) · Zbl 1137.91422
[3] Carmona, J.; Leon, A., Investment option under CIR interest rates, Finance Research Letters, 4, 242-253 (2007)
[4] Cox, J. C.; Ingersoll, J. E.; Ross, S. A., A theory of the term structure of interest rates, Econometrica, 53, 385-407 (1985) · Zbl 1274.91447
[5] Dixit, A.; Pindyck, R., Investment Under Uncertainty (1994), Princeton University Press: Princeton University Press Princeton NJ
[6] Ewald, C.-O.; Yang, Z., Utility based pricing and exercising of real options under geometric mean reversion and risk aversion toward idiosyncratic risk, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 67, 4 (2008) · Zbl 1163.91014
[7] Ewald, C.-O., Yang, Z.J., 2007. Geometric mean reversion: Formulas for the equilibrium density and analytic moment matching. Available on-line at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=999561; Ewald, C.-O., Yang, Z.J., 2007. Geometric mean reversion: Formulas for the equilibrium density and analytic moment matching. Available on-line at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=999561
[8] Henderson, V., Valuation of claims on non-tradable asset using utility maximization, Mathematical Finance, 12, 4, 351-373 (2002) · Zbl 1049.91072
[9] Henderson, V., 2006. Valuing the option to invest in an incomplete market. Available on-line at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=569865; Henderson, V., 2006. Valuing the option to invest in an incomplete market. Available on-line at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=569865
[10] Henderson, V.; Hobson, D., Real options with constant relative risk aversion, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 27, 2, 329-355 (2002) · Zbl 1027.91039
[11] Metcalf, G.; Hasset, K., Investment under alternative return assumptions comparing random walk and mean reversion, Journal of Economics Dynamics and Control, 19, 1471-1488 (1995) · Zbl 0900.90090
[12] McDonald, R.; Siegel, D. R., The value of waiting to invest, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101, 707-727 (1986)
[13] Myers, S. C., Determinants of corporate borrowing, Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 2, 147-176 (1977)
[14] Myers, S. C.; Majd, S., Abandonment value and project life, Advances in Futures and Options Research, 4, 1-21 (1990)
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.