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Conditional sampling for max-stable processes with a mixed moving maxima representation. (English) Zbl 1312.60071

Summary: This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using the Poisson point process structure of such processes. For explicit calculations we restrict ourselves to the one-dimensional case and use a finite number of shape functions satisfying some regularity conditions. For more general shape functions, approximation techniques are presented. Our algorithm is applied to the Smith process and the Brown-Resnick process. Finally, we compare our computational results to other approaches. Here, the algorithm for Gaussian processes with transformed marginals turns out to be surprisingly competitive.

MSC:

60G70 Extreme value theory; extremal stochastic processes
62D05 Sampling theory, sample surveys
60G52 Stable stochastic processes
60G55 Point processes (e.g., Poisson, Cox, Hawkes processes)

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