×

Assessing circular error probable when the errors are elliptical normal. (English) Zbl 1318.62101

Summary: An important problem of continuing interest to engineers is the need to assess the circular error probable (CEP), a measure of the impact accuracy of a projectile or a measure of GPS point positioning accuracy. One of the challenges in addressing this problem is to construct some accurate confidence bounds or intervals for CEP in the small sample settings, where certain amount of systematic biases exist in testing experiments. Currently there is no general method available to deal with this challenge due to the intractability of the distributions of the existing CEP estimators. In this paper, in order to meet this challenge, several new approximate formulas are derived for calculating CEP, which are more accurate than the existing ones but still simple to use. Both exact and empirical expressions for the derivatives of CEP with respect to the population means and variances are also given. Using these formulas, three kinds of confidence bounds or intervals for CEP are proposed, which are based on the parametric bootstrap, the asymptotic distribution, and the Cornish-Fisher expansion, respectively. Moreover, a bias-corrected estimator of CEP is provided. The performances of these procedures are evaluated based on some Monte Carlo simulation studies. Both the theoretical and simulation results show that the Cornish-Fisher expansion-based procedure performs slightly better than the other two procedures when the downrange and cross-range variances are assumed the same. However, when these two variances are different, the simulation demonstrates that the bootstrap approach can be superior to the Cornish-Fisher for the small samples (say \(n=10\)), and vice versa for the moderate samples (say \(n=20\)).

MSC:

62F25 Parametric tolerance and confidence regions
62F40 Bootstrap, jackknife and other resampling methods
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Eckler A. R., Encyclopaedia Statist. Sci. 9 pp 180– (1988)
[2] Pal N., Statist. Methods 5 pp 97– (2003)
[3] Titterington D. M., Statistical Analysis of Finite Mixture Distributions (1985) · Zbl 0646.62013
[4] DOI: 10.1080/01621459.1992.10475269 · doi:10.1080/01621459.1992.10475269
[5] Rizos C., Principles and practice of GPS surveying, Lecture Notes (2000)
[6] DOI: 10.1287/opre.19.3.645 · Zbl 0215.29903 · doi:10.1287/opre.19.3.645
[7] DOI: 10.1214/aoms/1177728859 · Zbl 0055.12705 · doi:10.1214/aoms/1177728859
[8] DOI: 10.1090/S0025-5718-1962-0148161-0 · doi:10.1090/S0025-5718-1962-0148161-0
[9] DOI: 10.1287/opre.12.1.51 · Zbl 0122.37701 · doi:10.1287/opre.12.1.51
[10] DOI: 10.1002/nav.3800310310 · Zbl 0561.62049 · doi:10.1002/nav.3800310310
[11] DOI: 10.1002/nav.3800330308 · Zbl 0603.60016 · doi:10.1002/nav.3800330308
[12] DOI: 10.2307/2282775 · doi:10.2307/2282775
[13] Taub A. E., Confidence intervals for CEP when the errors are elliptical normal (1983)
[14] Spall J. C., APL Tech. Dig. 18 pp 473– (1997)
[15] DOI: 10.1093/biomet/80.1.3 · Zbl 0773.62021 · doi:10.1093/biomet/80.1.3
[16] Winterbottom A., J. R. Statisti. Soc. B 41 pp 69– (1979)
[17] DOI: 10.1093/biomet/67.2.351 · Zbl 0453.62088 · doi:10.1093/biomet/67.2.351
[18] Hall P., The Bootstrap and Edgeworth Expansion (1992) · Zbl 0744.62026
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.