×

Extremes of threshold-dependent Gaussian processes. (English) Zbl 1402.60042

Summary: In this paper, we are concerned with the asymptotic behavior, as \(u\rightarrow\infty\), of \(\mathrm{P}\{\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X_u(t)>u\}\), where \(X_u(t),t\in[0,T],u>0\) is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A key application of our findings concerns \(\mathrm{P}\{\sup_{t\in[0,T]}(X(t)+g(t))>u\}\), as \(u\rightarrow\infty\), for \(X\) a centered Gaussian process and \(g\) some measurable trend function. Further applications include the approximation of both the ruin time and the ruin probability of the Brownian motion risk model with constant force of interest.

MSC:

60G15 Gaussian processes
60G70 Extreme value theory; extremal stochastic processes

References:

[1] Adler R, Taylor J. Random Fields and Geometry. Springer Monographs in Mathematics. New York: Springer, 2007 · Zbl 1149.60003
[2] Arendarczyk, M., On the asymptotics of supremum distribution for some iterated processes, Extremes, 20, 451-474, (2017) · Zbl 1373.60066 · doi:10.1007/s10687-016-0272-2
[3] Azaïs J, Wschebor M. Level Sets and Extrema of Random Processes and Fields. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons, 2009 · Zbl 1168.60002 · doi:10.1002/9780470434642
[4] Bai, L., Extremes of \(α\)(\(t\))-locally stationary Gaussian processes with non-constant variances, J Math Anal Appl, 446, 248-263, (2017) · Zbl 1373.60067 · doi:10.1016/j.jmaa.2016.08.056
[5] Bai, L.; Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; etal., On generalised Piterbarg constants, Methodol Comput Appl Probab, 20, 137-164, (2018) · Zbl 1390.60133 · doi:10.1007/s11009-016-9537-0
[6] Berman, S. M., Sojourns and extremes of Gaussian processes, Ann Probab, 2, 999-1026, (1974) · Zbl 0298.60026 · doi:10.1214/aop/1176996495
[7] Berman S M. Sojourns and Extremes of Stochastic Processes. The Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole Statistics/Probability Series. Pacific Grove: Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole Advanced Books & Software, 1992 · Zbl 0809.60046
[8] Bingham N H, Goldie C M, Teugels J L. Regular Variation, Volume 27. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1989 · Zbl 0667.26003
[9] Bischoff, W.; Miller, F.; Hashorva, E.; etal., Asymptotics of a boundary crossing probability of a Brownian bridge with general trend, Methodol Comput Appl Probab, 5, 271-287, (2003) · Zbl 1048.60025 · doi:10.1023/A:1026242019110
[10] Cheng, D., Excursion probabilities of isotropic and locally isotropic Gaussian random fields on manifolds, Extremes, 20, 475-487, (2017) · Zbl 1375.60078 · doi:10.1007/s10687-016-0271-3
[11] Cheng, D.; Schwartzman, A., Distribution of the height of local maxima of Gaussian random fields, Extremes, 18, 213-240, (2015) · Zbl 1319.60106 · doi:10.1007/s10687-014-0211-z
[12] Cheng, D.; Xiao, Y., The mean Euler characteristic and excursion probability of Gaussian random fields with stationary increments, Ann Appl Probab, 26, 722-759, (2016) · Zbl 1339.60055 · doi:10.1214/15-AAP1101
[13] Dȩbicki, K., A note on LDP for supremum of Gaussian processes over infinite horizon, Statist Probab Lett, 44, 211-219, (1999) · Zbl 0943.60040 · doi:10.1016/S0167-7152(99)00011-5
[14] Dȩbicki, K., Ruin probability for Gaussian integrated processes, Stochastic Process Appl, 98, 151-174, (2002) · Zbl 1059.60047 · doi:10.1016/S0304-4149(01)00143-0
[15] Dȩbicki, K.; Engelke, S.; Hashorva, E., Generalized Pickands constants and stationary max-stable processes, Extremes, 20, 493-517, (2017) · Zbl 1379.60041 · doi:10.1007/s10687-017-0289-1
[16] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E., On extremal index of max-stable stationary processes, Probab Math Statist, 37, 299-317, (2017) · Zbl 1393.60055
[17] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Tail asymptotics of supremum of certain Gaussian processes over threshold dependent random intervals, Extremes, 17, 411-429, (2014) · Zbl 1306.60033 · doi:10.1007/s10687-014-0186-9
[18] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Gaussian risk model with financial constraints, Scand Actuar J, 6, 469-481, (2015) · Zbl 1401.91130 · doi:10.1080/03461238.2013.850442
[19] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Parisian ruin of self-similar Gaussian risk processes, J Appl Probab, 52, 688-702, (2015) · Zbl 1326.60042 · doi:10.1239/jap/1445543840
[20] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Parisian ruin over a finite-time horizon, Sci China Math, 59, 557-572, (2016) · Zbl 1341.60024 · doi:10.1007/s11425-015-5073-6
[21] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Ji, L.; etal., Extremes of vector-valued Gaussian processes: Exact asymptotics, Stochastic Process Appl, 125, 4039-4065, (2015) · Zbl 1321.60108 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2015.05.015
[22] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Liu, P., Ruin probabilities and passage times of γ-reflected Gaussian process with stationary increments, (2017)
[23] Dȩbicki, K.; Hashorva, E.; Liu, P., Uniform tail approximation of homogenous functionals of Gaussian fields, Adv in Appl Probab, 49, 1037-1066, (2017) · Zbl 1425.60036 · doi:10.1017/apr.2017.33
[24] Dȩbicki, K.; Kosiński, K., On the infimum attained by the re ected fractional Brownian motion, Extremes, 17, 431-446, (2014) · Zbl 1306.60037 · doi:10.1007/s10687-014-0188-7
[25] Dȩbicki, K.; Kisowski, P., Asymptotics of supremum distribution of \(α\)(\(t\))-locally stationary Gaussian processes, Stochastic Process Appl, 118, 2022-2037, (2018) · Zbl 1151.60325 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2007.11.010
[26] Dȩbicki, K.; Rolski, T., A note on transient Gaussian fluid models, Queueing Syst, 41, 321-342, (2002) · Zbl 1006.60028 · doi:10.1023/A:1016283330996
[27] Dȩbicki, K.; Tabiś, K., Extremes of the time-average of stationary Gaussian processes, Stochastic Process Appl, 121, 2049-2063, (2011) · Zbl 1227.60045 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2011.05.005
[28] Dieker, A. B., Extremes of Gaussian processes over an infinite horizon, Stochastic Process Appl, 115, 207-248, (2005) · Zbl 1070.60035 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2004.09.005
[29] Dieker, A. B.; Mikosch, T., Exact simulation of Brown-Resnick random fields at a finite number of locations, Extremes, 18, 301-314, (2015) · Zbl 1319.60108 · doi:10.1007/s10687-015-0214-4
[30] Dieker, A. B.; Yakir, B., On asymptotic constants in the theory of Gaussian processes, Bernoulli, 20, 1600-1619, (2014) · Zbl 1298.60043 · doi:10.3150/13-BEJ534
[31] Emanuel, D. C.; Harrison, J. M.; Taylor, A. J., A diffusion approximation for the ruin function of a risk process with compounding assets, Scand Actuar J, 4, 240-247, (1975) · Zbl 0322.62101 · doi:10.1080/03461238.1975.10405104
[32] Embrechts P, Klüppelberg C, Mikosch T. Modelling Extremal Events. Applications of Mathematics, vol. 33. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 1997 · Zbl 0873.62116
[33] Geluk J L, de Haan L. Regular Variation, Extensions and Tauberian Theorems. CWI Tract Stichting Mathematisch Centrum, vol. 40. Amsterdam: Centrum Wisk Inform, 1987 · Zbl 0624.26003
[34] Gnedenko, B. V.; Korolyuk, V. S., Some remarks on the theory of domains of attraction of stable distributions, Dopovidi Akad Nauk Ukrain RSR, 1950, 275-278, (1950)
[35] Harper, A. J., Bounds on the suprema of Gaussian processes, and omega results for the sum of a random multiplicative function, Ann Appl Probab, 23, 584-616, (2013) · Zbl 1268.60075 · doi:10.1214/12-AAP847
[36] Harper, A. J., Pickands’ constant hα does not equal 1/γ(1/\(α\)) for small \(α\), Bernoulli, 23, 582-602, (2017) · Zbl 1359.60051 · doi:10.3150/15-BEJ757
[37] Harrison, J. M., Ruin problems with compounding assets, Stochastic Process Appl, 5, 67-79, (1977) · Zbl 0361.60053 · doi:10.1016/0304-4149(77)90051-5
[38] Hashorva, E., Representations of max-stable processes via exponential tilting, (2018) · Zbl 1405.60071
[39] Hashorva, E.; Hüsler, J., Extremes of Gaussian processes with maximal variance near the boundary points, Methodol Comput Appl Probab, 2, 255-269, (2000) · Zbl 0969.60058 · doi:10.1023/A:1010029228490
[40] Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Approximation of passage times of γ-reflected processes with FBM input, J Appl Probab, 51, 713-726, (2014) · Zbl 1303.60027 · doi:10.1239/jap/1409932669
[41] Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Piterbarg theorems for chi-processes with trend, Extremes, 18, 37-64, (2015) · Zbl 1315.60042 · doi:10.1007/s10687-014-0201-1
[42] Hashorva, E.; Ji, L., Extremes of \(α\)(\(t\))-locally stationary Gaussian random fields, Trans Amer Math Soc, 368, 1-26, (2016) · Zbl 1408.60041 · doi:10.1090/tran/6769
[43] Hashorva, E.; Ji, L.; Piterbarg, V. I., On the supremum of γ-reflected processes with fractional Brownian motion as input, Stochastic Process Appl, 123, 4111-4127, (2013) · Zbl 1316.60054 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2013.06.007
[44] Hüsler, J., Extreme values and high boundary crossings of locally stationary Gaussian processes, Ann Probab, 18, 1141-1158, (1990) · Zbl 0726.60026 · doi:10.1214/aop/1176990739
[45] Hüsler, J.; Piterbarg, V. I., Extremes of a certain class of Gaussian processes, Stochastic Process Appl, 83, 257-271, (1999) · Zbl 0997.60057 · doi:10.1016/S0304-4149(99)00041-1
[46] Hüsler, J.; Piterbarg, V. I., On the ruin probability for physical fractional Brownian motion, Stochastic Process Appl, 113, 315-332, (2004) · Zbl 1070.60036 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2004.04.004
[47] Hüsler, J.; Piterbarg, V. I., A limit theorem for the time of ruin in a Gaussian ruin problem, Stochastic Process Appl, 118, 2014-2021, (2008) · Zbl 1151.60313 · doi:10.1016/j.spa.2007.11.006
[48] Meyer P A. Probability and Potentials. Waltham: Blaisdell, 1966 · Zbl 0138.10401
[49] Michna, Z., Remarks on pickands constant, Probab Math Statist, 37, 373-393, (2017) · Zbl 1393.60035
[50] Pickands, I. J., Maxima of stationary Gaussian processes, Z Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie verw Gebiete, 7, 190-223, (1967) · Zbl 0158.16702 · doi:10.1007/BF00532637
[51] Pickands, I. J., Upcrossing probabilities for stationary Gaussian processes, Trans Amer Math Soc, 145, 51-73, (1969) · Zbl 0206.18802 · doi:10.1090/S0002-9947-1969-0250367-X
[52] Piterbarg, V. I., On the paper by J. Pickands “Upcrossing probabilities for stationary Gaussian processes”, Vestnik Moskov Univ Ser I Mat Mekh, 27, 25-30, (1972) · Zbl 0241.60031
[53] Piterbarg V I. Asymptotic Methods in the Theory of Gaussian Processes and Fields. Translations of Mathematical Monographs, vol. 148. Providence: Amer Math Soc, 1996 · Zbl 0841.60024
[54] Piterbarg V I. Twenty Lectures about Gaussian Processes. London-New York: Atlantic Financial Press, 2015 · Zbl 1359.60005
[55] Piterbarg, V. I., High extrema of Gaussian chaos processes, Extremes, 19, 253-272, (2016) · Zbl 1339.60062 · doi:10.1007/s10687-016-0239-3
[56] Piterbarg, V. I.; Prisjažnjuk, V. P., Asymptotic behavior of the probability of a large excursion for a nonstationary Gaussian process, Teor Verojatnost i Mat Statist, 18, 121-134, (1978) · Zbl 0407.60016
[57] Piterbarg, V. I.; Stamatovich, S., On maximum of Gaussian non-centered fields indexed on smooth manifolds, 189-203, (2001), Boston · Zbl 1018.60053
[58] Resnick S I. Heavy-Tail Phenomena. Springer Series in Operations Research and Financial Engineering. New York: Springer, 2007 · Zbl 1152.62029
[59] Shao, Q. M., Bounds and estimators of a basic constant in extreme value theory of Gaussian processes, Statist Sinica, 6, 245-258, (1996) · Zbl 0841.60036
[60] Soulier, P., Some Applications of Regular Variation in Probability and Statistics, (2009), Caracas
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.