×

Capital requirements and growth in an open economy. (English) Zbl 1518.91143

Summary: This paper studies the effects of capital requirements, both independently and jointly with the degrees of financial development and financial openness, on economic growth. The first part illustrates how these effects operate in a simple two-period endogenous growth model with banking. The second part provides an empirical analysis based on panel data regressions for a sample of 107 advanced and developing economies. Sensitivity analysis, including with respect to potential causality and endogeneity issues, is also provided. The results show, in particular, that capital requirements can promote growth by mitigating the risk of financial crises, possibly by encouraging (in line with the skin in the game argument) prudent lending. However, financial development and financial openness tend to mitigate the growth benefits of these policies, because of increased scope for (domestic and cross-border) regulatory arbitrage and, in the case of financial openness, greater opportunities to borrow abroad.

MSC:

91B62 Economic growth models
91G50 Corporate finance (dividends, real options, etc.)

References:

[1] Agénor, P.-R., Growth and welfare effects of macroprudential regulation, Macroecon. Dyn., 23, 3140-3162 (2019)
[2] Agénor, P.-R.; Aizenman, J., Contagion and volatility with imperfect credit markets, IMF Staff Pap., 45, 207-235 (1998)
[3] Agénor, P.-R.; Pereira da Silva, L., Capital requirements, risk-taking and welfare in a growing economy, Journal of Regulatory Economics, 60, 167-192 (2021)
[4] Agénor, P.-R.; Pereira da Silva, L., Financial spillovers, spillbacks, and the scope for international macroprudential policy coordination, Int. Econ. Econ. Policy, 19, 79-127 (2022)
[5] Aghion, P.; Bacchetta, P.; Banerjee, A., Financial development and the instability of open economies, J. Monet. Econ., 51, 1077-1106 (2004)
[6] Alam, Z., 2019. Digging deeper—evidence on the effects of macroprudential policies from a new database. Working Paper No. 19/66, International Monetary Fund.
[7] Ang, J. B., A survey of recent developments in the literature on finance and growth, J. Econ. Surv., 23, 536-576 (2008)
[8] Araujo, J., Patnam, M., Popescu, A., Valencia, F., Yao, W., 2020. Effects of macroprudential policy: evidence from over 6,000 estimates. Working Paper No. 20/67, International Monetary Fund.
[9] Arellano, M.; Bond, S., Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations, Rev. Econ. Stud., 38, 277-297 (1991) · Zbl 0719.62116
[10] Baltagi, B. H.; Demetriades, P. O.; Law, S. H., Financial development and openness: evidence from panel data, J. Dev. Econ., 89, 285-296 (2009)
[11] Bekaert, G., Popov, A., 2012. On the link between the volatility and skewness of growth. Working Paper No. 18556, National Bureau of Economic Research.
[12] Blackburn, K.; Hung, V. T., A theory of growth, financial development and trade, Economica, 65, 107-124 (1998)
[13] Boar, C.; Gambacorta, L.; Lombardo, G.; Silva, L. A.P.d., What are the effects of macroprudential policies on macroeconomic performance?, BIS Q. Rev., 71-88 (2017)
[14] Borio, C.; Shim, I.; Shin, H. S., Macro-financial stability frameworks: experience and challenges, (Borio, C.; Shim, I.; Shin, H. S., Macro-financial Stability Policy in a Globalised World (2022), World Scientific Publishing: World Scientific Publishing Oxford)
[15] Boyd, J.; Smith, B., The coevolution of the real and financial sectors in the growth process, World Bank Econ. Rev., 10, 371-396 (1996)
[16] Bucci, A.; Marsiglio, S.; Prettner, C., On the (nonmonotonic) relation between economic growth and finance, Macroecon. Dyn., 24, 93-112 (2020)
[17] Buch, C. M.; Goldberg, L., Cross-border regulatory spillovers: how much? How important?, Int. J. Cent. Bank., 13, 505-558 (2017)
[18] Bumann, S.; Hermes, N.; Lensink, R., Financial liberalization and economic growth: a meta-analysis, J. Int. Money Financ., 33, 255-281 (2013)
[19] Cerutti, E.; Claessens, S.; Laeven, L., The use and effectiveness of macroprudential policies: new evidence, J. Financ. Stab., 28, 203-224 (2017)
[20] Cerutti, E.; Correa, R.; Fiorentino, E.; Segalla, E., Changes in prudential policy instruments—a new cross-country database, Int. J. Cent. Bank., 13, 477-503 (2017)
[21] Chari, A., Dilts-Stedman, K., Forbes, K., 2021. Spillovers at the extremes: The macroprudential stance and vulnerability to the global financial cycle. Unpublished, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
[22] Chinn, M. D.; Ito, H., What matters for financial development? capital controls, institutions, and interactions, J. Dev. Econ., 81, 163-192 (2006)
[23] Darst, R. M., Refayet, E., Vardoulakis, A., 2020. Banks, non banks, and lending standards. Finance and Economics Discussion Paper No. 2020-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
[24] Deli, Y. D.; Hasan, I., Real effects of bank capital regulations: global evidence, J. Bank. Finance, 82, 217-228 (2017)
[25] Diamond, D.; Rajan, R., A theory of bank capital, J. Finance, 55, 2431-2465 (2000)
[26] Ductor, L.; Grechyna, D., Financial development, real sector, and economic growth, Int. Rev. Econ. Finance, 37, 393-405 (2015)
[27] Fernández, A.; Tamayo, C. E., From institutions to financial development and growth: what are the links?, J. Econ. Surv., 31, 17-57 (2017)
[28] Forbes, K., The international aspects of macroprudential policy, Annu. Rev. Econ., 13, 203-228 (2021)
[29] Fraisse, H.; Lé, M.; Thesmar, D., The real effects of bank capital requirements, Manag. Sci., 66, 5-23 (2020)
[30] Gale, D.; Hellwig, M., Incentive-compatible debt contracts: the one-period problem, Rev. Econ. Stud., 52, 647-663 (1985) · Zbl 0573.90020
[31] Gambacorta, L.; Shin, H. S., Why bank capital matters for monetary policy, J. Financ. Intermediation, 35, 17-29 (2018)
[32] Gambacorta, L.; Yang, J.; Tsatsaronis, K., Financial structure and growth, Q. Rev. Bank Int. Settl., 21-35 (2014)
[33] von Hagen, J.; Zhang, H., Financial development, international capital flows, and aggregate output, J. Dev. Econ., 106, 66-77 (2014)
[34] Hellmann, T. F.; Murdock, K. C.; Stiglitz, J. E., Liberalization, moral hazard in banking, and prudential regulation: are capital requirements enough?, Am. Econ. Rev., 90, 147-165 (2000)
[35] Kikuchi, T.; JohnStachurski; GeorgeVachadze, Volatile capital flows and financial integration: the role of moral hazard, J. Econ. Theory, 176, 170-192 (2018) · Zbl 1419.91498
[36] Kim, S.; Mehrotra, A., Effects of monetary and macroprudential policies: evidence from four inflation targeting economies, J. Money Credit Bank., 50, 967-992 (2018)
[37] Kim, S.; Mehrotra, A., Examining macroprudential policy and its macroeconomic effects: some new evidence, J. Int. Money Finance, 128, 102697 (2022)
[38] Kneller, R.; Bleaney, M.; Gemmell, N., Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries, J. Public Econ., 74, 171-190 (1999)
[39] Laeven, L.; Valencia, F., Systemic banking crises database II, IMF Econ. Rev., 68, 307-361 (2020)
[40] Law, S. H.; Singh, N., Does too much finance harm economic growth?, J. Bank. Finance, 41, 36-44 (2014)
[41] Lee, H. Y.; Ricci, L. A.; Rigobon, R., Once again, is openness good for growth?, J. Dev. Econ., 75, 451-472 (2004)
[42] Levine, R., 2021. Finance, growth, and inequality. Working Paper No. 2021/164, International Monetary Fund.
[43] Ma, C., Financial stability, growth and macroprudential policy, J. Int. Econ., 122, 1-23 (2020)
[44] Martin, A.; Taddei, F., International capital flows and credit market imperfections: a tale of two frictions, J. Int. Econ., 89, 441-452 (2013)
[45] Michael, B.; Gemmell, N.; Kneller, R., Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation, and growth over the long run, Can. J. Econ., 34, 36-57 (2001)
[46] Morrison, A. D.; White, L., Crises and capital requirements in banking, Am. Econ. Rev., 95, 1548-1572 (2005)
[47] Neanidis, K. C., Volatile capital flows and economic growth: the role of banking supervision, J. Financ. Stab., 40, 77-93 (2019)
[48] Richter, B.; Schularick, M.; Shim, I., The costs of macroprudential policy, J. Int. Econ., 118, 263-282 (2019)
[49] Sahay, R., 2015. Rethinking financial deepening: stability and growth in emerging markets. Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/15/08, International Monetary Fund.
[50] Salas, S., On financial deepening and long-run growth, J. Econ., 123, 249-276 (2018) · Zbl 1408.91158
[51] Samargandi, N.; Fidrmuc, J.; Ghosh, S., Is the relationship between financial development and economic growth monotonic? evidence from a sample of middle-income countries, World Dev., 68, 66-81 (2015)
[52] Stock, J. H.; Watson, M. W., Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors for fixed effects panel data regression, Econometrica, 76, 155-174 (2008) · Zbl 1132.62102
[53] Svirydzenka, K., 2016. Introducing a new broad-based index of financial development. Working Paper No. 16/5, International Monetary Fund.
[54] Townsend, R., Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification, J. Econ. Theory, 21, 265-293 (1979) · Zbl 0446.90007
[55] Valickova, P.; Havranek, T.; Horvath, R., Financial development and economic growth: a meta-analysis, J. Econ. Surv., 29, 506-526 (2015)
[56] Verbeek, M., A Guide to Modern Econometrics (2017), John Wiley: John Wiley Chichester · Zbl 1013.62109
[57] World Bank, Bank Regulation and Supervision a Decade after the Global Financial Crisis (2020), Global Financial Development Report, World Bank publications: Global Financial Development Report, World Bank publications Washington DC
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.