On distribution of the leadership time in counting votes and predicting winners. (English) Zbl 1397.60024
Summary: In two-candidate election the votes are counted in random order. Suppose that candidate \(A\) was the leader until the 9th vote. How may we use this information in predicting the future winner? To this aim we derive distributions of the first leadership time both for the winner and loser. Our conclusion is rather surprising.
MSC:
| 60C05 | Combinatorial probability |
| 62E15 | Exact distribution theory in statistics |
| 05A19 | Combinatorial identities, bijective combinatorics |
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