×

Dynamical behavior of a stochastic SVIR epidemic model with vaccination. (English) Zbl 1499.92153

Summary: In this paper, we investigate the dynamical behavior of SVIR models in random environments. Firstly, we show that if \(R_0^s < 1\), the disease of stochastic autonomous SVIR model will die out exponentially; if \(\tilde{R}_0^s > 1\), the disease will be prevail. Moreover, this system admits a unique stationary distribution and it is ergodic when \(\tilde{R}_0^s > 1\). Results show that environmental white noise is helpful for disease control. Secondly, we give sufficient conditions for the existence of nontrivial periodic solutions to stochastic SVIR model with periodic parameters. Finally, numerical simulations validate the analytical results.

MSC:

92D30 Epidemiology
34F05 Ordinary differential equations and systems with randomness
34C25 Periodic solutions to ordinary differential equations
Full Text: DOI

References:

[1] Liu, X.; Takeuchi, Y.; Iwami, S., SVIR epidemic models with vaccination strategies, J. Theoret. Biol., 253, 1-11 (2008) · Zbl 1398.92243
[2] Chen, F., A susceptible-infected epidemic model with voluntary vaccinations, J. Math. Biol., 53, 253-272 (2006) · Zbl 1098.92044
[3] Gao, S.; Ouyang, H.; Nieto, J., Mixed vaccination strategy in SIRS epidemic model with seasonal variability on infection, Int. J. Biomath., 4, 473-491 (2011) · Zbl 1304.34088
[4] Li, J.; Ma, Z., Qualitative analyses of SIS epidemic model with vaccination and varying total population size, Math. Comput. Modelling, 35, 1235-1243 (2002) · Zbl 1045.92039
[5] Kermark, M.; Mckendrick, A., Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics, Part I, Proc. R. Soc. A, 115, 700-721 (1927) · JFM 53.0517.01
[6] Cai, Y.; Kang, Y.; Banerjee, M.; Wang, W., A stochastic epidemic model incorporating media coverage, Commun. Math. Sci., 14, 893-910 (2015) · Zbl 1344.92155
[7] Liu, M.; Fan, M., Permanence of stochastic Lotka-Volterra systems, J. Nonlinear Sci., 27, 425-452 (2017) · Zbl 1387.60106
[8] Liu, M.; Bai, C.; Jin, Y., Population dynamical behavior of a two-predator one-prey stochastic model with time delay, Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst., 37, 2513-2538 (2017) · Zbl 1357.34095
[9] Gray, A.; Greenhalgh, D.; Hu, L.; Mao, X.; Pan, J., A stochastic differential equation SIS epidemic model, SIAM J. Appl. Math., 71, 876-902 (2011) · Zbl 1263.34068
[10] Lahrouz, A.; Omari, L., Extinction and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-linear incidence, Statist. Probab. Lett., 83, 960-968 (2013) · Zbl 1402.92396
[11] Zhang, X.; Wang, K., Stochastic model for spread of AIDS driven by Levy noise, J. Dynam. Differential Equations, 27, 215-236 (2015) · Zbl 1325.92087
[12] Zhao, Y.; Jiang, D.; O’Regan, D., The extinction and persistence of the stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination, Physica A, 392, 4916-4927 (2013) · Zbl 1395.92180
[13] Zhao, Y.; Jiang, D., Dynamics of stochastically perturbed SIS epidemic model with vaccination, Abstr. Appl. Anal., 2013, 1-12 (2013) · Zbl 1288.92027
[14] Zhao, Y.; Jiang, D., The threshold of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination, Appl. Math. Comput., 243, 718-727 (2014) · Zbl 1335.92108
[15] Yang, Q.; Jiang, D.; Shi, N.; Ji, C., The ergodicity and extinction of stochastically perturbed SIR and SEIR epidemic models with saturated incidence, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 388, 248-271 (2012) · Zbl 1231.92058
[16] Ji, C.; Jiang, D.; Yang, Q.; Shi, N., Dynamics of a multigroup SIR epidemic model with stochastic perturbation, Automatica, 48, 121-131 (2012) · Zbl 1244.93154
[17] Jiang, D.; Yu, J.; Ji, C.; Shi, N., Asymptotic behavior of global positive solution to a stochastic SIR model, Math. Comput. Modelling, 54, 221-232 (2011) · Zbl 1225.60114
[18] Rudnicki, R., Long-time behaviour of a stochastic prey-predator model, Stochastic Process. Appl., 108, 93-107 (2003) · Zbl 1075.60539
[19] Lin, Y.; Jiang, D.; Liu, T., Nontrivial periodic solution of a stochastic epidemic model with seasonal variation, Appl. Math. Lett., 45, 103-107 (2015) · Zbl 1354.92087
[20] Zhang, X.; Jiang, D.; Alsaedi, A.; Hayat, T., Periodic solutions and stationary distribution of mutualism models in random environments, Physica A, 460, 270-282 (2016) · Zbl 1400.34064
[21] Zhang, X.; Jiang, D.; Alsaedi, A.; Hayat, T., Periodic solution and stationary distribution of stochastic S-DI-A epidemic models, Appl. Anal. (2017)
[22] Lipster, R., A strong law of large numbers for local martingales, Stochastics, 3, 217-228 (1980) · Zbl 0435.60037
[23] Has’minskii, R., Stochastic Stability of Differential Equations (1980), Sijthoff & Noordhoff: Sijthoff & Noordhoff Alphen aan den Rijn · Zbl 0441.60060
[24] Zhu, C.; Yin, G., Asymptotic properties of hybird diffusion systems, SIAM J. Control Optim., 46, 1155-1179 (2007) · Zbl 1140.93045
[25] Higham, D. J., An algorithmic introduction to numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations, SIAM Rev., 43, 525-546 (2001) · Zbl 0979.65007
[26] T.C. Gard, Introduction to Stochastic Differential Equation, Madison Avenue 270, New York, 1988. · Zbl 0628.60064
[27] Strang, G., Linear Algebra and its Applications (1988), Harcourt Brace, Watkins
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.