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Stochastic multi-group epidemic SVIR models: degenerate case. (English) Zbl 1530.34049

Summary: This work considers a multi-group epidemic SIR models with vaccination. The fluctuation of the environment is taken into account by introducing both color noise and white noise to a compartmental model. Unlike existing results on stochastic multigroup models, which were not successful in finding the reproduction numbers and fully classify the longtime behaviors of the models, we will provide a formula for the reproduction number \(\mathcal{R}_0\) of our model and will show that the disease is persistent if \(\mathcal{R}_0>1\) while the disease will be eradicated if \(\mathcal{R}_0\leq 1\). We also provide the explicit formulae for \(\mathcal{R}_0\) in some special cases. The formulae will be useful to determine the herb immunity threshold of the disease, which can be used to make right and timely policy to control a disease.

MSC:

34C60 Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models
34F05 Ordinary differential equations and systems with randomness
92D30 Epidemiology
34D05 Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations
Full Text: DOI

References:

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