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Statool: A tool for distribution envelope determination (DEnv), an interval-based algorithm for arithmetic on random variables. (English) Zbl 1020.65010

Summary: We present Statool, a software tool for obtaining bounds on the distributions of sums, products, and various other functions of random variables where the dependency relationship of the random variables need not be specified. Statool implements the DEnv algorithm, which we have described previously [cf. D. Berleant and C. Goodman-Strauss, ibid. 4, 147-165 (1998; Zbl 0908.65139)] but not implemented. Our earlier tool addressed only the much more elementary case of independent random variables [cf. D. Berleant and H. Cheng, ibid. 4, 71-82 (1998; Zbl 0895.65018)]. An existing tool, RiskCalc [cf. S. Ferson, RAMAS Risk Calc 4.0: Risk Assessment with Uncertain Numbers, Lewis Press, boca Raton, Florida (2002)], also addresses the case of unknown dependency using a different algorithm [cf. R. C. Williamson and T. Downs, Int. J. Approx. Reasoning 4, 89-158 (1990; Zbl 0703.65100)] based on copulas [cf. R. B. Nelsen, An introduction to copulas. Properties and applications. Lecture Notes in Statistics (Springer). 139 (1999; Zbl 0909.62052)], while descriptions and implementations of still other algorithms for similar problems will be reported soon [cf. J. Helton (ed.): Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Synopsis, Special Issue, forthcoming, http://www.sandia.gov/epistemic/eup_workshop1.htm#papers] as the area proceeds through a phase of rapid development.

MSC:

65C60 Computational problems in statistics (MSC2010)
62E17 Approximations to statistical distributions (nonasymptotic)
65G30 Interval and finite arithmetic
65Y15 Packaged methods for numerical algorithms
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