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Market structure and the value of overselling under stochastic demands. (English) Zbl 1347.91143

Summary: In the operations management literature, traditional revenue management focused on pricing and capacity allocation strategies in a two-period model with stochastic demand. Inspired by travel and lodging industries, we examine a two-period model in which each seller may also adopt the overselling strategy to customers whose valuations are differentiated by timing of arrivals. Widely seen as a popular hedge against consumers’ skipping reservations, we extend the stylized approaches of Biyalogorsky, Carmon, Fruchter, and Gerstner [E. Biyalogorsky et al., “Overselling with opportunistic cancellations”, Mark. Sci. 18, No. 4, 605–610 (1999; doi:10.1287/mksc.18.4.605)] and [the second author, “Overselling in a competitive environment: boon or bane?”, ibid. 28, No. 6, 1129–1143 (2009; doi:10.1287/mksc.1090.0519)] to understand the value of overselling under various market structures. We find that contrary to existing literature, the impact of period-two pricing competition from overselling spills over to period-one such that overselling may not always be a (weakly) dominant strategy once unlimited early demand ceases to hold in a duopoly regime. We provide some numerical studies on the existence of multiple equilibria at the capacity allocation level which actually lead to different selling strategies at the equilibrium despite identical market conditions and firm characteristics.

MSC:

91B24 Microeconomic theory (price theory and economic markets)
91B26 Auctions, bargaining, bidding and selling, and other market models
91A80 Applications of game theory

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