×

On finite-time ruin probabilities in a generalized dual risk model with dependence. (English) Zbl 1341.91090

Summary: In this paper, we study the finite-time ruin probability in a reasonably generalized dual risk model, where we assume any non-negative non-decreasing cumulative operational cost function and arbitrary capital gains arrival process. Establishing an enlightening link between this dual risk model and its corresponding insurance risk model, explicit expressions for the finite-time survival probability in the dual risk model are obtained under various general assumptions for the distribution of the capital gains. In order to make the model more realistic and general, different dependence structures among capital gains and inter-arrival times and between both are also introduced and corresponding ruin probability expressions are also given. The concept of alarm time, as introduced in [S. Das and M. Kratz, Insur. Math. Econ. 51, No. 1, 53–65 (2012; Zbl 1284.91223)], is applied to the dual risk model within the context of risk capital allocation. Extensive numerical illustrations are provided.

MSC:

91B30 Risk theory, insurance (MSC2010)
60K10 Applications of renewal theory (reliability, demand theory, etc.)

Citations:

Zbl 1284.91223

References:

[1] Afonso, L. B.; Cardoso, R. M.; Egidio dos Reis, A. D., Dividend problems in the dual risk model, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53, 3, 906-918 (2013) · Zbl 1290.91073
[2] Albrecher, H.; Badescu, A.; Landriault, D., On the dual risk model with tax payments, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 42, 1086-1094 (2008) · Zbl 1141.91481
[3] Albrecher, H.; Constantinescu, C.; Loisel, S., Explicit ruin formulas for models with dependence among risks, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 48, 265-270 (2011) · Zbl 1218.91065
[4] Asmussen, S.; Albrecher, H., Ruin probabilities (2010), World Scientific: World Scientific New Jersey · Zbl 1247.91080
[5] Avanzi, B.; Gerber, H. U.; Shiu, E. S., Optimal dividends in the dual model, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 41, 111-123 (2007) · Zbl 1131.91026
[6] Bayraktar, E.; Egami, M., Optimizing venture capital investments in a jump diffusion model, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 67, 21-42 (2008) · Zbl 1151.91049
[7] Botta, B. F.; Harris, C. M., Approximation with generalized hyperexponential distributions: weak convergence results, Queueing Systems, 2, 169-190 (1986) · Zbl 0655.60012
[8] Cifarelli, M. D.; Masciandaro, D.; Peccati, L.; Salsa, S.; Tagliani, A., Success or failure of a firm under different financing policies: A dynamic stochastic model, European Journal of Operational Research, 136, 471-482 (2002) · Zbl 1008.91045
[9] Dai, H.; Liu, Z.; Luan, N., Optimal dividend strategies in a dual model with capital injections, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 72, 129-143 (2010) · Zbl 1194.91188
[10] Das, S.; Kratz, M., Alarm system for insurance companies: A strategy for capital allocation, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 51, 1, 53-65 (2012) · Zbl 1284.91223
[11] Dhaene, J.; Tsanakas, A.; Valdez, E. A.; Vanduffel, S., Optimal capital allocation principles, Journal of Risk and Insurance, 79, 1, 1-28 (2012)
[12] Diasparra, M.; Romera, R., Inequalities for the ruin probability in a controlled discrete-time risk process, European Journal of Operational Research, 204, 496-504 (2010) · Zbl 1189.91071
[14] Dong, H.; Liu, Z., On a class of dual risk model with dependence based on the FGM copula, International Journal of Information Engineering and Electronic Business, 2, 2, 46-53 (2010)
[15] Dong, Y.; Wang, G., On a compounding assets model with positive jumps, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 24, 21-30 (2008) · Zbl 1164.91029
[16] Dutang, C.; Albrecher, H.; Loisel, S., Competition among non-life insurers under solvency constraints: A game-theoretic approach, European Journal of Operational Research, 231, 702-711 (2013) · Zbl 1317.91042
[17] Embrechts, P.; Kaufmann, R.; Samorodnitsky, G., Ruin theory revisited: stochastic models for operational risk. Risk management for central bank foreign reserves, (Bernadell, C.; etal., European Central Bank, Frankfurt a.M. (2004)), 243-261
[18] Feldmann, A.; Whitt, W., Fitting mixtures of exponentials to long-tail distributions to analyze network performance models, Performance Evaluation, 31, 245-279 (1998)
[19] Huang, T.; Zhao, R.; Tang, W., Risk model with fuzzy random individual claim amount, European Journal of Operational Research, 192, 879-890 (2009) · Zbl 1157.91381
[20] Ignatov, Z. G.; Kaishev, V. K., Two-sided bounds for the finite-time probability of ruin, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2000, 1, 46-62 (2000) · Zbl 0958.91030
[21] Ignatov, Z. G.; Kaishev, V. K., A finite-time ruin probability formula for continuous claim severites, Journal of Applied Probability, 41, 570-578 (2004) · Zbl 1048.60079
[22] Ignatov, Z. G.; Kaishev, V. K., Finite time non-ruin probability for Erlang claim inter-arrivals and continuous inter-dependent claim amounts, Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 84, 4, 461-485 (2012) · Zbl 1262.91094
[23] Kaishev, V. K.; Dimitrova, D. S.; Ignatov, Z. G., Operational risk and insurance: A ruin-probabilistic reserving approach, Journal of Operational Risk, 3, 3, 39-60 (2008)
[24] Lefèvre, C.; Picard, P., A nonhomogeneous risk model for insurance, Computers and Mathematics with Applications, 51, 325-334 (2006) · Zbl 1161.91418
[25] Mazza, C.; Rullière, D., A link between wave governed random motions and ruin processes, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 35, 205-222 (2004) · Zbl 1103.91045
[26] Meade, N.; Islam, T., Using copulas to model repeat purchase behaviour - An exploratory analysis via a case study, European Journal of Operational Research, 200, 3, 908-917 (2010) · Zbl 1177.90233
[27] Takacs, L., On combinatorial methods in the theory of stochastic processes., Proc. fifth Berkeley symp. on math. statist. and prob., Vol. 2, 431-447 (1967), University of California Press · Zbl 0189.17602
[28] Tasche, D., Allocating portfolio economic capital to sub-portfolios., (Dev, A., Economic capital: A practitioner’ s Guide (2004), Risk Books), 275-302
[30] Todinov, M. T., Reliability analysis based on the losses from failures, Risk Analysis, 26, 2, 311-335 (2006)
[31] Wen, Y., On a class of dual model with diffusion, International Journal of Contemporary Mathematical Sciences, 6, 793-799 (2011) · Zbl 1227.91024
[32] Yang, C.; Sendova, K. P., The ruin time under the Sparre-Andersen dual model, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 54, 28-40 (2014) · Zbl 1292.91096
[33] Yao, D.; Yang, H.; Wang, R., Optimal dividend and capital injection problem in the dual model with proportional and fixed transaction costs, European Journal of Operational Research, 211, 568-576 (2011) · Zbl 1237.91143
[34] Zhu, J.; Yang, H., Ruin probabilities of a dual Markov-Modulated risk model, Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 37, 3298-3307 (2008) · Zbl 1292.91100
This reference list is based on information provided by the publisher or from digital mathematics libraries. Its items are heuristically matched to zbMATH identifiers and may contain data conversion errors. In some cases that data have been complemented/enhanced by data from zbMATH Open. This attempts to reflect the references listed in the original paper as accurately as possible without claiming completeness or a perfect matching.