A generalized stochastic method for estimating the characteristics of potential conflicts of a controlled air traffic. (English. Russian original) Zbl 1101.93072
Cybern. Syst. Anal. 41, No. 3, 385-396 (2005); translation from Kibern. Sist. Anal. 2005, No. 3, 81-93 (2005).
Summary: A generalized stochastic method is presented for evaluating conflict characteristics such as conflict probability, collision probability, integral estimate of conflict probability on the near-collision time interval, and mean time to a predicted conflict. Equations are obtained for finding these conflict characteristics with regard for the stochastic nature and time correlation of the deviation from a planned controlled-flight trajectory.
MSC:
| 93E03 | Stochastic systems in control theory (general) |
| 93C95 | Application models in control theory |
Keywords:
air traffic control; norm of safe separation of aircraft; conflict forecast; probability of conflict; stochastic disturbance model; diffusion processReferences:
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