On possible outputs of group decision making with interval uncertainties based on simulation techniques. (English) Zbl 1490.91087
Summary: Interval uncertainties are very common in group decision making (GDM), especially with the increasing complexity of decision-making systems. The aggregation approach is a widely used method for integrating interval uncertain information in a single interval output that is the basis for ranking alternatives. The ranking results are usually presented in absolute form, that is, an alternative has a 100% probability of being superior to the alternative immediately behind it. However, it seems inadequate and unreasonable to deduce this type of absolute ranking solely since overlap is common among interval outputs, that is an alternative is not always absolutely superior (or inferior) to another one. To this problem, this paper tries to explore other types of outputs for interval GDM problems using stochastic simulation, including ranking of alternatives with probabilities, competition for each ordered position, pairwise priority comparison of alternatives, and overall advantage of alternatives. All of these outputs provide us with more information to form a complete understanding of alternatives from different aspects. Finally, a numerical example regarding the policy selection about a company expanding into a new market is introduced to illustrate the obtainment of these possible outputs.
Keywords:
decision analysis; group decision making; simulation; ranking with probabilities; pairwise priority matrixReferences:
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