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Monotone convergence of spreading processes on networks. arXiv:2407.10816

Preprint, arXiv:2407.10816 [math.CA] (2024).
Summary: We analyze the Bass and SI models for the spreading of innovations and epidemics, respectively, on homogeneous complete networks, circular networks, and heterogeneous complete networks with two homogeneous groups. We allow the network parameters to be time dependent, which is a prerequisite for the analysis of optimal strategies on networks. Using a novel top-down analysis of the master equations, we present a simple proof for the monotone convergence of these models to their respective infinite-population limits. This leads to explicit expressions for the expected adoption or infection level in the Bass and SI models, respectively, on infinite homogeneous complete and circular networks, and on heterogeneous complete networks with two homogeneous groups with time-dependent parameters.

MSC:

91D30 Social networks; opinion dynamics
34E10 Perturbations, asymptotics of solutions to ordinary differential equations
92D30 Epidemiology
60J80 Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.)
92D25 Population dynamics (general)
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